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AS Roma

D D L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Genoa

L D L W L
1X2 AS Roma 43%
O/U Over 2.5 64%
DC 1X 70%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
AS Roma 43% Draw 26% Genoa 30%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.68 — 1.52 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%AS Roma
X25%Draw
234%Genoa
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 62%U 38%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

AS Roma
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for AS Roma.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Genoa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Genoa.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

AS Roma22%
Genoa19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

AS Roma17%
Genoa14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

AS Roma54%
Genoa46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

AS Roma
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Genoa
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.15%
#22-18.71%
#31-27.89%
#42-26.65%
#51-06.22%
Combined Top 540.62%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

AS Roma + BTTS24%
Genoa + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

43' 🟥 Matias Soule
50' ⚽ Santiago Thomas Castro
51' 🟥 Johan Vásquez
63' 🔄 In: Lorenzo Pellegrini
63' 🔄 In: Mario Hermoso
65' 🔄 In: Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
65' 🟥 Leo Østigård
68' ⚽ Emanuele Lulli
76' 🟥 Niccolò Pisilli
78' 🔄 In: Wesley Vinícius França Lima
81' 🟥 Mikael Ellertsson
83' 🔄 In: Robinho Junior
83' 🔄 In: Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
88' 🔄 In: Daniele Ghilardi
88' 🔄 In: Alessandro Di Nunzio

Lineups

AS Roma Home
  • P. Gollini
  • L. Balerdi
  • E. Ndicka
  • K. Koulierakis
  • E. Lulli
  • M. de Roon
  • N. Pisilli
  • D. Rensch
  • M. Soulé
  • Rodrigo Mora
  • S. Castro
Genoa Away
  • J. Bijlow
  • A. Marcandalli
  • L. Østigård
  • J. Vásquez
  • M. Ellertsson
  • S. Wiafe
  • M. Frendrup
  • D. Puczka
  • Junior Messias
  • S. El Shaarawy
  • M. Osmajić

AS Roma Season

Rank#3
Points17
Matches Left31

Genoa Season

Rank#17
Points4
Matches Left31

AS Roma Last 5

Slovan Bratislava 4 - 0
Genoa 2 - 0
Real Madrid 3 - 4
Como 0 - 0
Inter 2 - 2

Genoa Last 5

AS Roma 2 - 0
Fiorentina 2 - 1
Parma 2 - 1
Frosinone 1 - 1
Como 1 - 4

Head-to-Head

AS Roma: 0 Draws: 1 Genoa: 4
2026 Genoa 2 - 1 AS Roma
2025 AS Roma 3 - 1 Genoa
2025 AS Roma 3 - 1 Genoa
2024 Genoa 1 - 1 AS Roma
2024 AS Roma 1 - 0 Genoa

Form Analysis

AS Roma
D D L W W
Genoa
L D L W L

AS Roma Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.60
Goals scored13
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Genoa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.33
Goals scored1
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

15Shots9
5Shots on Target1
5Corners3
66%Possession34%
2Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

AS Roma
1.85
Genoa
1.45

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

AS Roma vs Genoa is a Serie A football match on October 17, 2026 at Stadio Olimpico. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DDLWW) for AS Roma and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LDLWL) for Genoa. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Olimpico

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, AS Roma is currently #3 with 17 points from 7 matches, while Genoa is #17 with 4 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: AS Roma won 0, 1 were drawn and Genoa won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows AS Roma at 2.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus Genoa at 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.85 for AS Roma and 1.45 for Genoa. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 2 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.