What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen–SC Paderborn 07 match is: Bayer Leverkusen to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Bayer Leverkusen to win (47% confidence); under 3.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Bayer Leverkusen
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bayer Leverkusen scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.
SC Paderborn 07
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SC Paderborn 07 scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Bayer Leverkusen scored 1.20 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; SC Paderborn 07 scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Aleix García contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.46/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Tigges contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.02/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list K. Hjulmand for Bayer Leverkusen and L. Kwasniok for SC Paderborn 07. The latest recorded formations are Bayer Leverkusen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and SC Paderborn 07 in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bayer Leverkusen averaged 58.6% possession and 19.0 shots per match (7.1 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, SC Paderborn 07 averaged 49.6% possession and 14.0 shots (3.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Bayer Leverkusen recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.80 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, SC Paderborn 07 recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Bundesliga fixture takes place at BayArena (Leverkusen).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Bayer Leverkusen: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.9 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.