OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
1X2 Bayer Leverkusen 47%
O/U Under 3.5 76%
DC 1X 81%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Bayer Leverkusen 47% Draw 25% SC Paderborn 07 28%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07?

Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen–SC Paderborn 07 match is: Bayer Leverkusen to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bayer Leverkusen to win (47% confidence); under 3.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Bayer Leverkusen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bayer Leverkusen scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

SC Paderborn 07

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SC Paderborn 07 scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Bayer Leverkusen scored 1.20 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; SC Paderborn 07 scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Aleix García contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.46/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Tigges contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.02/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list K. Hjulmand for Bayer Leverkusen and L. Kwasniok for SC Paderborn 07. The latest recorded formations are Bayer Leverkusen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and SC Paderborn 07 in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bayer Leverkusen averaged 58.6% possession and 19.0 shots per match (7.1 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, SC Paderborn 07 averaged 49.6% possession and 14.0 shots (3.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Bayer Leverkusen recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.80 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, SC Paderborn 07 recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at BayArena (Leverkusen).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Bayer Leverkusen: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.9 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.65 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Bayer Leverkusen
X25%Draw
231%SC Paderborn 07
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Bayer Leverkusen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bayer Leverkusen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
SC Paderborn 07
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for SC Paderborn 07.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Bayer Leverkusen26%
SC Paderborn 0719%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Bayer Leverkusen20%
SC Paderborn 0714%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Bayer Leverkusen59%
SC Paderborn 0741%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Bayer Leverkusen
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
SC Paderborn 07
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.87%
#22-19.11%
#31-07.49%
#41-27.49%
#52-06.70%
Combined Top 542.66%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Bayer Leverkusen + BTTS24%
SC Paderborn 07 + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Bayer Leverkusen Season

Rank#5
Points16
Matches Left25

SC Paderborn 07 Season

Rank#13
Points10
Matches Left25

Bayer Leverkusen Last 5

1. FC Köln 1 - 2
Marseille 0 - 1
VfB Stuttgart 2 - 4
1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0
OFI 0 - 2

SC Paderborn 07 Last 5

Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 0
Hamburger SV 1 - 0
Werder Bremen 2 - 2
VfB Stuttgart 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Bayer Leverkusen: 4 Draws: 0 SC Paderborn 07: 1
2025 SC Paderborn 07 2 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen
2023 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 1 SC Paderborn 07
2023 Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 2 SC Paderborn 07
2020 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen
2019 Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 SC Paderborn 07

Form Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen
W L L W W
SC Paderborn 07
D D W D L

Bayer Leverkusen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored10
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

SC Paderborn 07 Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored2
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bayer Leverkusen
1.65
SC Paderborn 07
0.86

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 is a Bundesliga football match on November 21, 2026 at BayArena. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WLLWW) for Bayer Leverkusen and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DDWDL) for SC Paderborn 07. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 BayArena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, Bayer Leverkusen is currently #5 with 16 points from 9 matches, while SC Paderborn 07 is #13 with 10 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Bayer Leverkusen won 4, 0 were drawn and SC Paderborn 07 won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Bayer Leverkusen at 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus SC Paderborn 07 at 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.65 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.86 for SC Paderborn 07.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.