What is the prediction for the football match between Benevento and Empoli?
Our prediction for the Benevento–Empoli match is: under 3.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Benevento to win (50% confidence); Benevento to win or draw (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Benevento
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Benevento scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
Empoli
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Empoli scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Benevento and Empoli average 2.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 3.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Siatounis contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.28/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Ceesay contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.97/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list G. Auteri for Benevento and R. D'Aversa for Empoli. The latest recorded formations are Benevento in 4-1-4-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Empoli in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Benevento averaged 53.3% possession and 18.3 shots per match (5.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Empoli averaged 43.7% possession and 12.3 shots (4.1 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Benevento recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.50 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Empoli recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.50 points, 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Benevento: 1.5 points per home match compared with 2.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.