OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
1X2 Benfica 63%
O/U Over 2.5 75%
DC 1X 71%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Benfica 63% Draw 18% Lech Poznan 18%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Benfica Lech Poznan
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Benfica · 6.0' · 2.25 Lech Poznan · 6.0' · 0 Benfica · 10.0' · 4.5 Lech Poznan · 10.0' · 0 Benfica · 13.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 13.0' · 0 Benfica · 17.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 17.0' · 0 Benfica · 21.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 21.0' · 0 Benfica · 25.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 25.0' · 0 Benfica · 29.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 29.0' · 2.25 Benfica · 33.0' · 2.25 Lech Poznan · 33.0' · 0 Benfica · 37.0' · 2 Lech Poznan · 37.0' · 0 Benfica · 41.0' · 1.1 Lech Poznan · 41.0' · 2.2 Benfica · 45.0' · 2.25 Lech Poznan · 45.0' · 0 Benfica · 45.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 45.0' · 0 Benfica · 45.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 45.0' · 0 Benfica · 46.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 46.0' · 0 Benfica · 50.0' · 5.3 Lech Poznan · 50.0' · 0 Benfica · 54.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 54.0' · 1.1 Benfica · 58.0' · 2.25 Lech Poznan · 58.0' · 1 Benfica · 62.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 62.0' · 0 Benfica · 66.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 66.0' · 3.35 Benfica · 70.0' · 2.25 Lech Poznan · 70.0' · 2.25 Benfica · 74.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 74.0' · 2.25 Benfica · 78.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 78.0' · 0 Benfica · 82.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 82.0' · 0 Benfica · 86.0' · 0 Lech Poznan · 86.0' · 2.25 Benfica · 90.0' · 6.6 Lech Poznan · 90.0' · 0 Benfica · 94.0' · 4.5 Lech Poznan · 94.0' · 0 Benfica · 90.0' · 1 Lech Poznan · 90.0' · 0 Goal · 6' · Rafa Silva Normal GoalG Card · 27' · Y. Agnero C Card · 42' · Daniel Banjaqui C Card · 60' · Manuel Silva C Substitution · 62' · Daniel Håkans Luis Palma ↔ Substitution · 62' · Rafa Silva Gianluca Prestianni ↔ Substitution · 62' · Manuel Silva Enzo Barrenechea ↔ Substitution · 62' · Claudio Echeverri Fredrik Aursnes ↔ Goal · 67' · Gianluca Prestianni Normal GoalG Substitution · 69' · Tomás Araújo João Palhinha ↔ Substitution · 71' · Pablo Rodriguez Delgado Filip Jagiełło ↔ Substitution · 71' · Patrick Walemark Leo Bengtsson ↔ Substitution · 71' · antoni kozubal Gustav Berggren ↔ Goal · 72' · Leo Bengtsson Normal GoalG Substitution · 79' · Joel Pereira Robert Gumny ↔ Substitution · 82' · Andreas Schjelderup Dodi Lukebakio ↔ Goal · 90' · Heorhii Sudakov Normal GoalG

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 09:57 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.81 — 1.58 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Benfica
X24%Draw
233%Lech Poznan
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Benfica
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Benfica.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Lech Poznan
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lech Poznan.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Benfica20%
Lech Poznan16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Benfica17%
Lech Poznan12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Benfica56%
Lech Poznan44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Benfica
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Lech Poznan
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.35%
#22-18.69%
#31-27.61%
#42-26.88%
#51-05.54%
Combined Top 539.07%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Benfica + BTTS26%
Lech Poznan + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

6' ⚽ Rafa Silva
27' 🟥 Y. Agnero
42' 🟥 Daniel Banjaqui
60' 🟥 Manuel Silva
62' 🔄 In: Luis Palma
62' 🔄 In: Gianluca Prestianni
62' 🔄 In: Enzo Barrenechea
62' 🔄 In: Fredrik Aursnes
67' ⚽ Gianluca Prestianni
69' 🔄 In: João Palhinha
71' 🔄 In: Filip Jagiełło
71' 🔄 In: Leo Bengtsson
71' 🔄 In: Gustav Berggren
72' ⚽ Leo Bengtsson
79' 🔄 In: Robert Gumny
82' 🔄 In: Dodi Lukebakio
90' ⚽ Heorhii Sudakov

Lineups

Benfica Home
  • A. Trubin
  • Daniel Banjaqui
  • A. Circati
  • Tomás Araújo
  • S. El Karouani
  • H. Sudakov
  • Manu
  • Rafa
  • C. Echeverri
  • A. Schjelderup
  • J. Durán
Lech Poznan Away
  • M. Lis
  • Joel Pereira
  • M. Skrzypczak
  • T. Yegbe
  • M. Gurgul
  • R. Murawski
  • A. Kozubal
  • P. Wålemark
  • Pablo Rodríguez
  • D. Håkans
  • Y. Agnero

Benfica Season

Rank#1
Points12
Matches Left34

Lech Poznan Season

Rank#35
Points1
Matches Left34

Benfica Last 5

Omonia Nicosia 1 - 4
Celtic 4 - 1

Lech Poznan Last 5

Sunderland 1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 4

Head-to-Head

Benfica: 0 Draws: 0 Lech Poznan: 2
2020 Benfica 4 - 0 Lech Poznan
2020 Lech Poznan 2 - 4 Benfica

Form Analysis

Benfica
W W W W
Lech Poznan
L D L L

Benfica Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.50
Goals scored7
Goals conceded2
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Lech Poznan Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored1
Goals conceded7
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.50

Match Statistics

24Shots6
11Shots on Target5
6Corners3
56%Possession44%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica
2.30
Lech Poznan
1.71

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Benfica vs Lech Poznan is a Europa League football match on November 5, 2026 at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz). Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWW) for Benfica and 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LDLL) for Lech Poznan. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz)

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Benfica is currently #1 with 12 points from 4 matches, while Lech Poznan is #35 with 1 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: Benfica won 0, 0 were drawn and Lech Poznan won 2 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Benfica at 3.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Lech Poznan at 0.50 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.30 for Benfica and 1.71 for Lech Poznan. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 3 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.