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Bologna
D L D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Monza
D L W L W
1X2 Monza 49%
O/U Over 2.5 67%
DC 1X 64%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Bologna 28% Draw 23% Monza 49%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Monza?

Our prediction for the Bologna–Monza match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Monza to win (49% confidence); Bologna to win or draw (64% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Bologna

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bologna scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Monza

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Monza scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Bologna and Monza average 3.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Juan Miranda contributed 0 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.76/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Gustavo Varela contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.78/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Monza records a mean of 6.85/10 versus 6.51/10 for Bologna.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists A. Nesta as coach of Monza. The latest recorded formations are Bologna in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Monza in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 19, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bologna averaged 44.4% possession and 11.6 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Monza averaged 45.8% possession and 15.0 shots (6.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Bologna recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 0.67 points, 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Monza recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.64 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Bologna
X25%Draw
237%Monza
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Bologna
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bologna.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Monza
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Monza.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Bologna20%
Monza19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Bologna16%
Monza15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Bologna51%
Monza49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Bologna
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Monza
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.12%
#22-18.43%
#31-28.18%
#42-26.72%
#51-05.83%
Combined Top 540.28%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Bologna + BTTS23%
Monza + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Bologna Season

Rank#15
Points5
Matches Left31

Monza Season

Rank#14
Points7
Matches Left31

Bologna Last 5

Inter 1 - 3
Lecce 1 - 2
Torino 1 - 1
Napoli 1 - 0
Sassuolo 2 - 2

Monza Last 5

Cagliari 4 - 0
Lazio 3 - 1
Sassuolo 2 - 1
Lecce 3 - 2
Parma 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Bologna: 3 Draws: 2 Monza: 0
2025 Bologna 3 - 1 Monza
2024 Bologna 4 - 0 Monza
2024 Monza 1 - 2 Bologna
2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Monza
2023 Monza 0 - 0 Bologna

Form Analysis

Bologna
L W D L D
Monza
W L W L D

Bologna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded7
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

Monza Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded11
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bologna
1.77
Monza
1.70

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Bologna vs Monza is a Serie A football match on October 31, 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LWDLD) for Bologna and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WLWLD) for Monza. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Bologna is currently #15 with 5 points from 7 matches, while Monza is #14 with 7 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Bologna won 3, 2 were drawn and Monza won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Bologna at 1.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per home match, versus Monza at 1.25 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.77 for Bologna and 1.70 for Monza.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.