What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Portsmouth?
Our prediction for the Bolton–Portsmouth match is: Portsmouth to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Bolton to win (40% confidence); under 3.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)
Bolton
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bolton scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.
Portsmouth
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Portsmouth scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Bolton scored 1.00 and conceded 2.20 per match across 5 covered games; Portsmouth scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Dalby contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.02/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Devlin contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.57/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bolton records a mean of 6.55/10 versus 6.37/10 for Portsmouth.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Bolton in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Portsmouth in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bolton averaged 49.4% possession and 14.1 shots per match (4.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Portsmouth averaged 49.7% possession and 11.8 shots (3.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Bolton recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, averaging 0.60 points, 1.40 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. Away from home, Portsmouth recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.20 points, 0.40 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Championship fixture takes place at Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).
Bolton's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 4 defeats in 5 home matches, averaging 0.6 points per home match compared with 2.0 away.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.