OpWin.

Home

Botafogo

D W L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Atletico-MG

W W L L L
1X2 Atletico-MG 39%
O/U Over 1.5 77%
DC 1X 75%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Botafogo 36% Draw 26% Atletico-MG 39%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.45 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Botafogo
X25%Draw
233%Atletico-MG
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Botafogo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Botafogo.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Atletico-MG
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atletico-MG.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Botafogo23%
Atletico-MG20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Botafogo18%
Atletico-MG14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Botafogo55%
Atletico-MG45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Botafogo
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Atletico-MG
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.77%
#22-18.83%
#31-27.85%
#41-06.81%
#52-26.40%
Combined Top 541.66%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Botafogo + BTTS23%
Atletico-MG + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' 🟥 C. Medina
19' ⚽ Edenilson
47' 🟥 T. Perez
55' 🔄 In: Alex Telles
55' 🔄 In: Matheus Martins
64' 🔄 In: Kauan Toledo
68' 🔄 In: Gutte
75' 🟥 Marcal
76' 🔄 In: Arthur Cabral
76' 🔄 In: D. Andrade
77' 🟥 K. Pascini
85' 🔄 In: J. Santos

Lineups

Botafogo Home
  • Gabriel Batista
  • Nahuel Ferraresi
  • Gabriel Justino
  • Marçal
  • Vitinho
  • Edenilson
  • Huguinho
  • Cristian Medina
  • Paulinho
  • Danilo Pereira
  • Tiquinho Soares
Atletico-MG Away
  • Everson
  • Ángelo Preciado
  • Vitão
  • Léo Duarte
  • Kauã Pascini
  • Tomás Pérez
  • Mamady Cissé
  • Gustavo Scarpa
  • Alexsander
  • Dudu
  • Cauã Campos Soares

Botafogo Season

Rank#11
Points42
Matches Left4

Atletico-MG Season

Rank#7
Points50
Matches Left4

Botafogo Last 5

Atletico-MG 1 - 0
Remo 2 - 1
Internacional 3 - 0
Chapecoense-sc 1 - 0
Coritiba 1 - 1

Atletico-MG Last 5

Botafogo 1 - 0
Cruzeiro 0 - 1
Flamengo 3 - 2
Coritiba 1 - 0
Santos 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Botafogo: 2 Draws: 2 Atletico-MG: 1
2026 Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Botafogo
2025 Botafogo 1 - 0 Atletico-MG
2025 Atletico-MG 1 - 0 Botafogo
2024 Atletico-MG 1 - 3 Botafogo
2024 Atletico-MG 0 - 0 Botafogo

Form Analysis

Botafogo
D W L L W
Atletico-MG
W W L L L

Botafogo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

Atletico-MG Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

12Shots12
3Shots on Target3
4Corners4
33%Possession67%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Botafogo
1.65
Atletico-MG
1.09

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Botafogo vs Atletico-MG is a Brasileirão football match on November 4, 2026 at Olímpico Nilton Santos. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLLW) for Botafogo and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WWLLL) for Atletico-MG. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Olímpico Nilton Santos

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Botafogo is currently #11 with 42 points from 34 matches, while Atletico-MG is #7 with 50 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Botafogo won 2, 2 were drawn and Atletico-MG won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Botafogo at 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home match, versus Atletico-MG at 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.65 for Botafogo and 1.09 for Atletico-MG. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 1 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.