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Burgos

L W W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Albacete

L L W W W
1X2 Burgos 51%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Burgos 51% Draw 22% Albacete 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Burgos and Albacete?

Our prediction for the Burgos–Albacete match is: Burgos to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Burgos to win (51% confidence); over 1.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Burgos

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Burgos scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Albacete

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Albacete scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Burgos scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Albacete scored 1.60 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Curro Sánchez contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Víctor Valverde contributed 0 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.76/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Luis Miguel Ramis for Burgos and Alberto González for Albacete. The latest recorded formations are Burgos in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Albacete in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Burgos averaged 47.6% possession and 12.3 shots per match (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Albacete averaged 42.9% possession and 12.1 shots (3.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 7 recent home matches, Burgos recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per match. Away from home, Albacete recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in 6 matches, averaging 0.67 points, 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.68 — 1.38 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Burgos
X25%Draw
231%Albacete
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Burgos
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Burgos.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Albacete
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Albacete.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Burgos25%
Albacete19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Burgos20%
Albacete13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Burgos59%
Albacete41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Burgos
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Albacete
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.74%
#22-19.11%
#31-27.48%
#41-07.25%
#52-06.62%
Combined Top 542.20%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Burgos + BTTS24%
Albacete + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Burgos Season

Rank#3
Points24
Matches Left25

Albacete Season

Rank#21
Points10
Matches Left25

Burgos Last 5

Celta de Vigo II 2 - 1
Castellón 1 - 1
FC Andorra 2 - 3
Sabadell 1 - 0
Granada CF 0 - 1

Albacete Last 5

Leganes 1 - 3
Sabadell 2 - 1
Eldense 2 - 0
Sporting Gijon 2 - 1
Valladolid 5 - 0

Head-to-Head

Burgos: 3 Draws: 0 Albacete: 2
2026 Albacete 2 - 3 Burgos
2025 Burgos 0 - 1 Albacete
2025 Burgos 1 - 0 Albacete
2024 Albacete 2 - 0 Burgos
2024 Burgos 2 - 1 Albacete

Form Analysis

Burgos
W D W W L
Albacete
W W W L L

Burgos Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.63
Goals scored13
Goals conceded8
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Albacete Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.86
Goals scored6
Goals conceded15
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.14

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Burgos
1.92
Albacete
0.92

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Burgos vs Albacete is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWWL) for Burgos and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Albacete. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Burgos is currently #3 with 24 points from 13 matches, while Albacete is #21 with 10 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Burgos won 3, 0 were drawn and Albacete won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Burgos at 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Albacete at 0.86 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.92 for Burgos and 0.92 for Albacete.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.