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Burnley
L L D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Blackburn
L W L L W
1X2 Burnley 46%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC 1X 69%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Burnley 46% Draw 23% Blackburn 31%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Blackburn?

Our prediction for the Burnley–Blackburn match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Burnley to win (46% confidence); Burnley to win or draw (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Burnley

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Burnley scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Blackburn

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Blackburn scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Burnley and Blackburn average 2.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, A. Hountondji contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.96/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Guðjohnsen contributed 6 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.71/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list S. Parker for Burnley and V. Ismaël for Blackburn. The latest recorded formations are Burnley in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Blackburn in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Burnley averaged 44.8% possession and 13.7 shots per match (4.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 10 matches, Blackburn averaged 44.6% possession and 11.7 shots (3.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Burnley recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 0.75 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Blackburn recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Championship fixture takes place at Turf Moor (Burnley).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Burnley: 0.8 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.59 — 1.49 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Burnley
X25%Draw
235%Blackburn
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Burnley
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Burnley.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Blackburn
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Blackburn.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Burnley23%
Blackburn20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Burnley17%
Blackburn15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Burnley53%
Blackburn47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Burnley
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Blackburn
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.74%
#22-18.63%
#31-28.10%
#41-06.70%
#52-26.42%
Combined Top 541.59%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Burnley + BTTS22%
Blackburn + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Burnley Season

Rank#22
Points10
Matches Left23

Blackburn Season

Rank#13
Points21
Matches Left23

Burnley Last 5

Cardiff 5 - 4
QPR 1 - 1
Portsmouth 0 - 0
Lincoln 4 - 1
Wolves 1 - 2

Blackburn Last 5

West Ham 2 - 1
Stoke City 1 - 2
Swansea 4 - 0
Wrexham 2 - 0
West Brom 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Burnley: 4 Draws: 1 Blackburn: 0
2025 Blackburn 0 - 1 Burnley
2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Blackburn
2023 Blackburn 0 - 1 Burnley
2022 Burnley 3 - 0 Blackburn
2017 Blackburn 0 - 2 Burnley

Form Analysis

Burnley
L D D L L
Blackburn
W L L W L

Burnley Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.14
Goals scored8
Goals conceded10
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.43

Blackburn Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.14
Goals scored8
Goals conceded13
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.86

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley
1.56
Blackburn
1.28

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Burnley vs Blackburn is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Turf Moor. Recent form is 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LDDLL) for Burnley and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLWL) for Blackburn. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Turf Moor

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Burnley is currently #22 with 10 points from 15 matches, while Blackburn is #13 with 21 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Burnley won 4, 1 were drawn and Blackburn won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Burnley at 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per home match, versus Blackburn at 1.14 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.56 for Burnley and 1.28 for Blackburn.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.