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Cagliari
D L L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Frosinone
L W D W W
1X2 Frosinone 48%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC X2 73%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cagliari 27% Draw 25% Frosinone 48%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Frosinone?

Our prediction for the Cagliari–Frosinone match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Frosinone to win (48% confidence); Frosinone to win or draw (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Cagliari

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cagliari scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

Frosinone

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Frosinone scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Cagliari and Frosinone average 3.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Maldini contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.98/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Ghedjemis contributed 1 goal(s) and 4 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.33/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Frosinone records a mean of 6.79/10 versus 6.33/10 for Cagliari.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list C. Ranieri for Cagliari and M. Alvini for Frosinone. The latest recorded formations are Cagliari in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 1, 2026) and Frosinone in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Cagliari averaged 40.0% possession and 10.3 shots per match (4.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Frosinone averaged 47.5% possession and 21.1 shots (7.1 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Cagliari recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Frosinone recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.25 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Unipol Domus (Cagliari).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Cagliari: 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.2 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.61 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Cagliari
X25%Draw
240%Frosinone
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cagliari
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cagliari.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Frosinone
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Frosinone.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cagliari20%
Frosinone22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cagliari15%
Frosinone17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cagliari46%
Frosinone54%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cagliari
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Frosinone
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.59%
#21-28.69%
#32-18.02%
#40-16.64%
#52-26.47%
Combined Top 541.41%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cagliari + BTTS20%
Frosinone + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Cagliari Season

Rank#12
Points13
Matches Left28

Frosinone Season

Rank#6
Points20
Matches Left28

Cagliari Last 5

Lazio 2 - 1
AS Roma 4 - 2
Bologna 0 - 2
Monza 4 - 0
Juventus 1 - 1

Frosinone Last 5

Torino 2 - 0
Lecce 5 - 1
Atalanta 4 - 4
Sassuolo 4 - 2
Napoli 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

Cagliari: 2 Draws: 2 Frosinone: 1
2025 Cagliari 4 - 1 Frosinone
2024 Frosinone 3 - 1 Cagliari
2023 Cagliari 4 - 3 Frosinone
2023 Cagliari 0 - 0 Frosinone
2022 Frosinone 2 - 2 Cagliari

Form Analysis

Cagliari
D L L L L
Frosinone
L W D W W

Cagliari Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored2
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Frosinone Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored8
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari
1.23
Frosinone
1.73

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cagliari vs Frosinone is a Serie A football match on November 7, 2026 at Unipol Domus. Recent form is 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: DLLLL) for Cagliari and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDWW) for Frosinone. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Unipol Domus

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Cagliari is currently #12 with 13 points from 10 matches, while Frosinone is #6 with 20 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Cagliari won 2, 2 were drawn and Frosinone won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cagliari at 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Frosinone at 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.23 for Cagliari and 1.73 for Frosinone.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.