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Castellón

L W W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Eldense

W W L L L
1X2 Castellón 74%
O/U Over 1.5 76%
DC 1X 96%
BTTS Yes 58%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Castellón 74% Draw 15% Eldense 11%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Castellón and Eldense?

Our prediction for the Castellón–Eldense match is: Castellón to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Castellón to win (74% confidence); over 1.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)

Castellón

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Castellón scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.

Eldense

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Eldense scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Castellón scored 1.80 and conceded 0.40 per match across 5 covered games; Eldense scored 1.00 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Israel Suero contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.45/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jorge Rastrojo contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.91/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Castellón records a mean of 6.95/10 versus 6.18/10 for Eldense.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list J. Plat for Castellón and José Luis Oltra for Eldense. The latest recorded formations are Castellón in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 14, 2026) and Eldense in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 9, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Castellón averaged 60.4% possession and 14.3 shots per match (4.9 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Eldense averaged 50.5% possession and 12.5 shots (4.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Castellón recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 3.00 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Eldense recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Estadio Municipal de Castalia.

Recent results show that Castellón have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.5 points per home match compared with 2.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.79 — 1.17 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

151%Castellón
X25%Draw
224%Eldense
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes58%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Castellón
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Castellón.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Eldense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Eldense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 89%

A different goal line with 89% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 69%U 31%
1.5O 33%U 67%
2.5O 11%U 89%
3.5O 3%U 97%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Castellón31%
Eldense17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Castellón25%
Eldense11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Castellón68%
Eldense32%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Castellón
-1.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
-1W 29%P 22%L 49%
-0.5W 51%P 0%L 49%
0W 51%P 25%L 24%
+0.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
+1W 76%P 14%L 10%
+1.5W 90%P 0%L 10%
Eldense
-1.5W 10%P 0%L 90%
-1W 10%P 14%L 76%
-0.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
0W 24%P 25%L 51%
+0.5W 49%P 0%L 51%
+1W 49%P 22%L 29%
+1.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.73%
#22-19.68%
#31-08.60%
#42-08.26%
#51-26.35%
Combined Top 544.62%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Castellón + BTTS26%
Eldense + BTTS13%
Draw + BTTS19%

Castellón Season

Rank#2
Points27
Matches Left26

Eldense Season

Rank#16
Points14
Matches Left25

Castellón Last 5

Valladolid 0 - 1
Burgos 1 - 1
Sporting Gijon 4 - 0
Las Palmas 0 - 3
FC Andorra 1 - 0

Eldense Last 5

Las Palmas 2 - 0
Granada CF 0 - 2
Albacete 2 - 0
Valladolid 2 - 3
Cordoba 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Castellón: 2 Draws: 2 Eldense: 0
2025 Castellón 1 - 1 Eldense
2024 Eldense 2 - 3 Castellón
2023 Castellón 2 - 0 Eldense
2022 Eldense 1 - 1 Castellón

Form Analysis

Castellón
D W W L D
Eldense
L L L W W

Castellón Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.40
Goals scored12
Goals conceded1
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.20

Eldense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.57
Goals scored4
Goals conceded11
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.57

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Castellón
2.40
Eldense
0.41

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Castellón vs Eldense is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Nou Estadi Castalia. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWWLD) for Castellón and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLLWW) for Eldense. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Nou Estadi Castalia

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Castellón is currently #2 with 27 points from 12 matches, while Eldense is #16 with 14 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Castellón won 2, 2 were drawn and Eldense won 0 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Castellón at 2.40 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per home match, versus Eldense at 0.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.40 for Castellón and 0.41 for Eldense.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.