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Catanzaro
D L D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-3
Away

Palermo
W W D W D
1X2 Palermo 43%
O/U Over 2.5 77%
DC X2 88%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Catanzaro 34% Draw 23% Palermo 43%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Catanzaro and Palermo?

Our prediction for the Catanzaro–Palermo match is: Palermo to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Palermo to win (43% confidence); over 2.5 goals (77% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Catanzaro

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Catanzaro scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Palermo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Palermo scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Catanzaro scored 1.00 and conceded 2.20 per match across 5 covered games; Palermo scored 2.20 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

In a recent recorded appearance, E. Pecorino registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Vavassori contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.69/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list A. Aquilani for Catanzaro and F. Inzaghi for Palermo. The latest recorded formations are Catanzaro in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Palermo in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Catanzaro averaged 49.2% possession and 13.8 shots per match (4.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Palermo averaged 46.7% possession and 20.0 shots (6.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Catanzaro recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 3.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Palermo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 4 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro).

Catanzaro's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 0.3 points per home match compared with 0.5 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.47 — 1.81 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

131%Catanzaro
X24%Draw
245%Palermo
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Catanzaro
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Catanzaro.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Palermo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Palermo.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Catanzaro16%
Palermo23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Catanzaro12%
Palermo19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Catanzaro41%
Palermo59%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Catanzaro
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 24%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Palermo
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 24%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.73%
#21-29.04%
#32-17.34%
#42-26.65%
#50-16.23%
Combined Top 539.99%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Catanzaro + BTTS19%
Palermo + BTTS27%
Draw + BTTS20%

Catanzaro Season

Rank#20
Points6
Matches Left27

Palermo Season

Rank#1
Points27
Matches Left27

Catanzaro Last 5

Cesena 1 - 0
Padova 1 - 1
Benevento 1 - 1
Ascoli 1 - 6
Hellas Verona 2 - 2

Palermo Last 5

Ascoli 1 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 3 - 1
Pisa 3 - 3
Carrarese 2 - 1
Mantova 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Catanzaro: 2 Draws: 0 Palermo: 3
2026 Palermo 2 - 0 Catanzaro
2026 Catanzaro 3 - 0 Palermo
2026 Palermo 3 - 2 Catanzaro
2025 Catanzaro 1 - 0 Palermo
2025 Catanzaro 1 - 3 Palermo

Form Analysis

Catanzaro
L D D L D
Palermo
D W D W W

Catanzaro Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded10
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.50

Palermo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.33
Goals scored14
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Catanzaro
1.20
Palermo
3.15

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Catanzaro vs Palermo is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: LDDLD) for Catanzaro and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DWDWW) for Palermo. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Catanzaro is currently #20 with 6 points from 11 matches, while Palermo is #1 with 27 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Catanzaro won 2, 0 were drawn and Palermo won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Catanzaro at 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per home match, versus Palermo at 2.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.20 for Catanzaro and 3.15 for Palermo.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.