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Celta de Vigo II
W D L D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Valladolid
W L L W W
1X2 Valladolid 42%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC X2 71%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Celta de Vigo II 31% Draw 26% Valladolid 42%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Celta de Vigo II and Valladolid?

Our prediction for the Celta de Vigo II–Valladolid match is: Valladolid to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Valladolid to win (42% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Celta de Vigo II

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Celta de Vigo II scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Valladolid

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Valladolid scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Celta de Vigo II scored 1.80 and conceded 2.20 per match across 5 covered games; Valladolid scored 2.80 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Marin contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.61/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Ponceau contributed 2 goal(s) and 4 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.63/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Valladolid records a mean of 6.61/10 versus 6.28/10 for Celta de Vigo II.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Fredi for Celta de Vigo II and G. Almada for Valladolid. The latest recorded formations are Celta de Vigo II in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Valladolid in 4-3-3 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Celta de Vigo II averaged 49.5% possession and 12.2 shots per match (4.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Valladolid averaged 47.8% possession and 14.1 shots (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Celta de Vigo II recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match. Away from home, Valladolid recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.20 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Celta de Vigo II: 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.6 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.53 — 1.60 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Celta de Vigo II
X25%Draw
239%Valladolid
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Celta de Vigo II
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Celta de Vigo II.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Valladolid
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Valladolid.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Celta de Vigo II20%
Valladolid22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Celta de Vigo II15%
Valladolid17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Celta de Vigo II48%
Valladolid52%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Celta de Vigo II
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Valladolid
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.52%
#21-28.54%
#32-18.17%
#42-26.54%
#50-16.37%
Combined Top 541.14%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Celta de Vigo II + BTTS21%
Valladolid + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Celta de Vigo II Season

Rank#16
Points13
Matches Left25

Valladolid Season

Rank#12
Points18
Matches Left25

Celta de Vigo II Last 5

Burgos 2 - 1
Cordoba 2 - 2
Girona 5 - 1
Tenerife 1 - 1
Real Sociedad II 4 - 1

Valladolid Last 5

Sporting Gijon 1 - 2
Leganes 4 - 3
Granada CF 2 - 1
Eldense 2 - 3
Albacete 5 - 0

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Celta de Vigo II
L D L D W
Valladolid
W W L L W

Celta de Vigo II Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.86
Goals scored13
Goals conceded13
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.86

Valladolid Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored7
Goals conceded10
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.43

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta de Vigo II
1.36
Valladolid
1.74

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLDW) for Celta de Vigo II and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLLW) for Valladolid. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Celta de Vigo II is currently #16 with 13 points from 13 matches, while Valladolid is #12 with 18 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Celta de Vigo II at 1.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per home match, versus Valladolid at 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.36 for Celta de Vigo II and 1.74 for Valladolid.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.