What is the prediction for the football match between Cesena and Ascoli?
Our prediction for the Cesena–Ascoli match is: Ascoli to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Ascoli to win (42% confidence); under 2.5 goals (61% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)
Cesena
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cesena scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
Ascoli
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Ascoli scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Cesena scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Ascoli scored 2.00 and conceded 0.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, C. Shpendi contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.38/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, G. Gori contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.24/10 across 4 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list M. Mignani for Cesena and D. Di Carlo for Ascoli. The latest recorded formations are Cesena in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Ascoli in 3-5-2 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Cesena averaged 45.3% possession and 13.8 shots per match (3.7 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Ascoli averaged 62.5% possession and 11.7 shots (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 3 recent home matches, Cesena recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Ascoli recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.67 points, 2.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena).
Recent results show that Cesena have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.