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CF Pachuca
D L D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Cruz Azul
L D D W
1X2 Cruz Azul 52%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC X2 61%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
CF Pachuca 26% Draw 22% Cruz Azul 52%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul?

Our prediction for the CF Pachuca–Cruz Azul match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Cruz Azul to win (52% confidence); Cruz Azul to win or draw (61% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

CF Pachuca

Across the 4 most recent finished matches with available data, CF Pachuca scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Cruz Azul

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Cruz Azul scored an average of 3.67 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, CF Pachuca and Cruz Azul average 5.17 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, S. Rondón contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.18/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, A. Montaño contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.73/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Cruz Azul records a mean of 6.99/10 versus 6.50/10 for CF Pachuca.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list J. Lozano for CF Pachuca and N. Larcamón for Cruz Azul. The latest recorded formations are CF Pachuca in 4-4-1-1 (Oct 19, 2026) and Cruz Azul in 5-3-2 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 4 recent matches with possession and shot data, CF Pachuca averaged 53.0% possession and 17.5 shots per match (5.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 3 matches, Cruz Azul averaged 58.0% possession and 20.7 shots (7.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for CF Pachuca, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.74 — 1.68 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%CF Pachuca
X24%Draw
237%Cruz Azul
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

CF Pachuca
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for CF Pachuca.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Cruz Azul
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cruz Azul.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

CF Pachuca19%
Cruz Azul18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

CF Pachuca15%
Cruz Azul14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

CF Pachuca52%
Cruz Azul48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

CF Pachuca
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 24%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Cruz Azul
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 24%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.26%
#22-18.32%
#31-28.01%
#42-26.97%
#51-05.19%
Combined Top 538.75%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

CF Pachuca + BTTS25%
Cruz Azul + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

CF Pachuca Season

Rank#16
Points13
Matches Left26

Cruz Azul Season

Rank#6
Points20
Matches Left26

CF Pachuca Last 5

Monterrey 2 - 1
Necaxa 3 - 3
Santos Laguna 1 - 0
Club Tijuana 2 - 2

Cruz Azul Last 5

FC Juarez 5 - 0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 3
Toluca 3 - 3
Monterrey 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

CF Pachuca: 2 Draws: 0 Cruz Azul: 3
2026 Cruz Azul 1 - 2 CF Pachuca
2025 CF Pachuca 0 - 1 Cruz Azul
2025 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 CF Pachuca
2024 CF Pachuca 2 - 4 Cruz Azul
2024 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 CF Pachuca

Form Analysis

CF Pachuca
L D L D W
Cruz Azul
W D D L W

CF Pachuca Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded11
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.20

Cruz Azul Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored10
Goals conceded9
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.80

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Pachuca
2.08
Cruz Azul
2.10

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul is a Football football match on October 21, 2026 at Estadio Hidalgo. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLDW) for CF Pachuca and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDDLW) for Cruz Azul. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio Hidalgo

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, CF Pachuca is currently #16 with 13 points from 12 matches, while Cruz Azul is #6 with 20 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: CF Pachuca won 2, 0 were drawn and Cruz Azul won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows CF Pachuca at 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per home match, versus Cruz Azul at 2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.08 for CF Pachuca and 2.10 for Cruz Azul.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.