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Charleroi
W W L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 3-2
Away

St. Truiden
L L L L W
1X2 Charleroi 55%
O/U Over 2.5 85%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 70%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Charleroi 55% Draw 22% St. Truiden 23%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Charleroi and St. Truiden?

Our prediction for the Charleroi–St. Truiden match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Charleroi to win (55% confidence); Charleroi to win or draw (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (70% confidence)

Charleroi

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Charleroi scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

St. Truiden

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, St. Truiden scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Charleroi and St. Truiden average 4.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Freddy Mbemba contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.83/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Ilias Sebaoui contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.17/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists R. Demil as coach of Charleroi. The latest recorded formations are Charleroi in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and St. Truiden in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Charleroi averaged 55.8% possession and 15.0 shots per match (6.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, St. Truiden averaged 58.4% possession and 14.8 shots (5.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Jupiler Pro League fixture takes place at Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Charleroi, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.97 — 1.67 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%Charleroi
X23%Draw
233%St. Truiden
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes70%
No30%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 88%U 12%
O/U 2.5O 70%U 30%
O/U 3.5O 49%U 51%
O/U 4.5O 30%U 70%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Charleroi
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 86%

The model assigns 86% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Charleroi.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 86%U 14%
1.5O 58%U 42%
2.5O 31%U 69%
3.5O 14%U 86%
St. Truiden
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for St. Truiden.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Charleroi19%
St. Truiden14%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Charleroi16%
St. Truiden11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Charleroi58%
St. Truiden42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Charleroi
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 19%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 23%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 16%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
St. Truiden
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 16%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 23%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 19%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.28%
#22-18.49%
#31-27.21%
#42-27.09%
#53-15.57%
Combined Top 537.64%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Charleroi + BTTS29%
St. Truiden + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Charleroi Season

Rank#4
Points27
Matches Left27

St. Truiden Season

Rank#12
Points11
Matches Left27

Charleroi Last 5

KVC Westerlo 1 - 5
RAAL La Louvière 5 - 2
Antwerp 3 - 0
Standard Liege 0 - 1
Cercle Brugge 3 - 2

St. Truiden Last 5

Zulte Waregem 4 - 1
OH Leuven 1 - 2
Club Brugge KV 3 - 2
KV Mechelen 4 - 3
KVC Westerlo 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Charleroi: 3 Draws: 1 St. Truiden: 1
2026 St. Truiden 0 - 2 Charleroi
2025 Charleroi 1 - 1 St. Truiden
2024 Charleroi 2 - 1 St. Truiden
2024 St. Truiden 1 - 4 Charleroi
2023 St. Truiden 1 - 0 Charleroi

Form Analysis

Charleroi
W W L W W
St. Truiden
W L L L L

Charleroi Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored15
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

St. Truiden Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.40
Goals scored12
Goals conceded13
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi
3.40
St. Truiden
2.23

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Charleroi vs St. Truiden is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWLWW) for Charleroi and 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: WLLLL) for St. Truiden. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Charleroi is currently #4 with 27 points from 11 matches, while St. Truiden is #12 with 11 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Charleroi won 3, 1 were drawn and St. Truiden won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Charleroi at 3.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per home match, versus St. Truiden at 2.40 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.40 for Charleroi and 2.23 for St. Truiden.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.