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Charlton
L L L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Lincoln
D W L L L
1X2 Charlton 47%
O/U Under 2.5 72%
DC 1X 70%
BTTS Yes 57%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Charlton 47% Draw 23% Lincoln 30%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Charlton and Lincoln?

Our prediction for the Charlton–Lincoln match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Charlton to win (47% confidence); Charlton to win or draw (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (57% confidence)

Charlton

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Charlton scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Lincoln

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lincoln scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Charlton and Lincoln average 2.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, M. Alli contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.75/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, M. Ladefoged contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.35/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list N. Jones for Charlton and M. Skubala for Lincoln. The latest recorded formations are Charlton in 4-1-4-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Lincoln in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Charlton averaged 45.8% possession and 9.6 shots per match (2.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Lincoln averaged 41.7% possession and 11.4 shots (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Charlton recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Lincoln recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.17 points, 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Championship fixture takes place at The Valley (London).

Recent results show that Charlton have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.39 — 1.35 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Charlton
X27%Draw
236%Lincoln
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes57%
No43%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 77%U 23%
O/U 2.5O 52%U 48%
O/U 3.5O 29%U 71%
O/U 4.5O 14%U 86%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Charlton
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Charlton.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Lincoln
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lincoln.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Charlton26%
Lincoln25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Charlton19%
Lincoln18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Charlton51%
Lincoln49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Charlton
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 83%
-1W 18%P 20%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 27%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Lincoln
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 27%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 20%L 18%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.06%
#22-18.38%
#31-08.20%
#41-28.18%
#50-17.99%
Combined Top 545.81%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Charlton + BTTS19%
Lincoln + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Charlton Season

Rank#19
Points17
Matches Left23

Lincoln Season

Rank#21
Points15
Matches Left23

Charlton Last 5

Sheffield Utd 2 - 1
Bolton 0 - 1
Middlesbrough 3 - 0
Norwich 1 - 3
Watford 2 - 0

Lincoln Last 5

QPR 2 - 1
Watford 1 - 0
Birmingham 1 - 3
Burnley 4 - 1
Millwall 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Charlton: 1 Draws: 3 Lincoln: 1
2025 Charlton 2 - 2 Lincoln
2024 Lincoln 0 - 0 Charlton
2024 Charlton 1 - 1 Lincoln
2023 Lincoln 3 - 1 Charlton
2023 Charlton 2 - 1 Lincoln

Form Analysis

Charlton
W L L L L
Lincoln
L L L W D

Charlton Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.88
Goals scored7
Goals conceded7
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.88

Lincoln Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.88
Goals scored7
Goals conceded10
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton
0.98
Lincoln
0.84

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Charlton vs Lincoln is a Football football match on November 24, 2026 at The Valley. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: WLLLL) for Charlton and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLLWD) for Lincoln. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Nov 2026
📍 The Valley

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Charlton is currently #19 with 17 points from 15 matches, while Lincoln is #21 with 15 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Charlton won 1, 3 were drawn and Lincoln won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Charlton at 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per home match, versus Lincoln at 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.98 for Charlton and 0.84 for Lincoln.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.