What is the prediction for the football match between Chicago Fire and Charlotte?
Our prediction for the Chicago Fire–Charlotte match is: over 2.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Charlotte to win (44% confidence); Charlotte to win or draw (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)
Chicago Fire
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Chicago Fire scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.
Charlotte
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Charlotte scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Chicago Fire and Charlotte average 5.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Bamba contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.98/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, I. Toklomati Giorno contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.53/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Charlotte records a mean of 6.88/10 versus 6.49/10 for Chicago Fire.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list G. Berhalter for Chicago Fire and D. Smith for Charlotte. The latest recorded formations are Chicago Fire in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Charlotte in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 13 recent matches with possession and shot data, Chicago Fire averaged 52.6% possession and 15.2 shots per match (5.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 12 matches, Charlotte averaged 45.2% possession and 11.4 shots (4.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 7 recent home matches, Chicago Fire recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.14 points, 1.86 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Charlotte recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in 8 matches, averaging 1.50 points, 2.13 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Soldier Field.
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Chicago Fire: 1.1 points per home match compared with 1.6 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.