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Corinthians

L D L W D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Botafogo

D W L L W
1X2 Corinthians 63%
O/U Under 3.5 77%
DC 1X 79%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Corinthians 63% Draw 19% Botafogo 18%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Corinthians and Botafogo?

Our prediction for the Corinthians–Botafogo match is: Corinthians to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Corinthians to win (63% confidence); under 3.5 goals (77% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Corinthians

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Corinthians scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Botafogo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Botafogo scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Corinthians scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Botafogo scored 0.80 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Gustavo Henrique contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.85/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 2 recent recorded appearances, Edenilson contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.14/10 across 2 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Corinthians records a mean of 6.73/10 versus 6.49/10 for Botafogo.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Bruno Lazaroni as coach of Botafogo. The latest recorded formations are Corinthians in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 5, 2026) and Botafogo in 3-5-2 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Corinthians averaged 53.9% possession and 17.4 shots per match (5.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Botafogo averaged 49.1% possession and 14.5 shots (4.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Corinthians recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.80 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Botafogo recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.20 points, 0.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo).

Recent results show that Corinthians have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 0.8 points per home match compared with 0.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.62 — 1.40 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Corinthians
X26%Draw
232%Botafogo
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Corinthians
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Corinthians.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Botafogo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Botafogo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Corinthians25%
Botafogo20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Corinthians19%
Botafogo14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Corinthians57%
Botafogo44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Corinthians
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Botafogo
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 26%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.99%
#22-18.95%
#31-27.72%
#41-07.26%
#52-06.41%
Combined Top 542.33%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Corinthians + BTTS23%
Botafogo + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Corinthians Season

Rank#17
Points37
Matches Left4

Botafogo Season

Rank#11
Points42
Matches Left4

Corinthians Last 5

Sao Paulo 0 - 0
Mirassol 2 - 0
Vasco DA Gama 3 - 2
Vitoria 1 - 1
Palmeiras 4 - 1

Botafogo Last 5

Atletico-MG 1 - 0
Remo 2 - 1
Internacional 3 - 0
Chapecoense-sc 1 - 0
Coritiba 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Corinthians: 0 Draws: 2 Botafogo: 3
2026 Botafogo 3 - 1 Corinthians
2025 Corinthians 2 - 2 Botafogo
2025 Botafogo 1 - 1 Corinthians
2024 Botafogo 2 - 1 Corinthians
2024 Corinthians 0 - 1 Botafogo

Form Analysis

Corinthians
L D L W D
Botafogo
D W L L W

Corinthians Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored5
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Botafogo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.40
Goals scored2
Goals conceded11
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians
1.56
Botafogo
0.90

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Corinthians vs Botafogo is a Brasileirão football match on November 18, 2026 at Neo Química Arena. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLWD) for Corinthians and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLLW) for Botafogo. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 18 Nov 2026
📍 Neo Química Arena

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Corinthians is currently #17 with 37 points from 34 matches, while Botafogo is #11 with 42 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Corinthians won 0, 2 were drawn and Botafogo won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Corinthians at 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus Botafogo at 0.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.56 for Corinthians and 0.90 for Botafogo.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.