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Cruzeiro

W L W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Bahia

L W L D W
1X2 Cruzeiro 68%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC 1X 86%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cruzeiro 68% Draw 18% Bahia 14%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.77 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

146%Cruzeiro
X25%Draw
229%Bahia
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cruzeiro
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cruzeiro.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Bahia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bahia.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cruzeiro26%
Bahia17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cruzeiro21%
Bahia12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cruzeiro61%
Bahia39%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cruzeiro
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 54%
-0.5W 46%P 0%L 54%
0W 46%P 25%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 16%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Bahia
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 16%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 25%L 46%
+0.5W 54%P 0%L 46%
+1W 54%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.31%
#22-19.28%
#31-27.16%
#41-07.13%
#52-06.80%
Combined Top 541.68%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cruzeiro + BTTS26%
Bahia + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

5' 🔄 In: M. Vina
19' 🟥 Nicolas Acevedo
32' ⚽ C. Olivera
45' ⚽ Kaio Jorge
57' 🔄 In: Jean Lucas
63' ⚽ Kaio Jorge
65' 🔄 In: Caio Alexandre
65' 🔄 In: Michel Araujo
65' 🔄 In: Erick Pulga
69' ⚽ Bruno Rodrigues
69' 🟥 Caio Alexandre
70' 🟥 Bruno Rodrigues
76' 🟥 Jonathan Jesus
82' 🔄 In: Marquinhos
82' 🔄 In: Matheus Henrique
82' 🔄 In: Kaua Moraes
83' 🔄 In: R. Gomez
86' ⚽ Kaio Jorge
87' 🔄 In: Lucas Silva
90' ⚽ A. Veliz
90' 🟥 Kaua Moraes

Lineups

Cruzeiro Home
  • Otávio Costa
  • Fagner
  • Fabrício Bruno
  • Jonathan Jesus
  • Gabriel Rojas
  • Lucas Romero
  • Zé Lucas
  • Keny Arroyo
  • Bruno Rodrigues
  • Gerson
  • Kaio Jorge
Bahia Away
  • Ronaldo
  • Marcos Victor
  • David Duarte
  • Kanu
  • Luciano Juba
  • Erick
  • Nicolás Acevedo
  • Rodrigo Nestor
  • Cristian Olivera
  • Alejo Véliz
  • Everton Ribeiro

Cruzeiro Season

Rank#3
Points60
Matches Left4

Bahia Season

Rank#6
Points53
Matches Left4

Cruzeiro Last 5

Atletico-MG 0 - 1
Remo 1 - 0
Gremio 2 - 4
RB Bragantino 4 - 2
Sao Paulo 2 - 0

Bahia Last 5

Sao Paulo 3 - 2
Santos 1 - 1
Flamengo 0 - 3
Mirassol 1 - 0
Palmeiras 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Cruzeiro: 3 Draws: 1 Bahia: 1
2026 Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
2025 Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro
2025 Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Bahia
2024 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Bahia
2024 Bahia 4 - 1 Cruzeiro

Form Analysis

Cruzeiro
W W W W L
Bahia
L W D L W

Cruzeiro Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.76
Goals scored30
Goals conceded18
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.06

Bahia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.41
Goals scored24
Goals conceded26
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.53

Match Statistics

21Shots12
8Shots on Target4
5Corners7
45%Possession55%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro
2.04
Bahia
0.85

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cruzeiro vs Bahia is a Brasileirão football match on November 5, 2026 at Mineirão. Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWWL) for Cruzeiro and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWDLW) for Bahia. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Mineirão

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Cruzeiro is currently #3 with 60 points from 34 matches, while Bahia is #6 with 53 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Cruzeiro won 3, 1 were drawn and Bahia won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cruzeiro at 1.76 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per home match, versus Bahia at 1.41 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.04 for Cruzeiro and 0.85 for Bahia. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 3 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.