OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Real Sociedad 47%
O/U Over 2.5 76%
DC X2 82%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Crystal Palace 28% Draw 24% Real Sociedad 47%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Real Sociedad?

Our prediction for the Crystal Palace–Real Sociedad match is: Real Sociedad to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Real Sociedad to win (47% confidence); over 2.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Crystal Palace

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Crystal Palace scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Real Sociedad

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Real Sociedad scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Crystal Palace scored 0.80 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Real Sociedad scored 2.20 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Kamada contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.65/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, O. Óskarsson contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.52/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Real Sociedad records a mean of 6.68/10 versus 6.32/10 for Crystal Palace.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Sergio Francisco as coach of Real Sociedad. The latest recorded formations are Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Real Sociedad in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Crystal Palace averaged 44.3% possession and 11.1 shots per match (4.1 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 11 matches, Real Sociedad averaged 51.9% possession and 14.1 shots (4.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Crystal Palace recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, averaging 0.67 points, 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Real Sociedad recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 7 matches, averaging 1.86 points, 2.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This UEFA Europa League fixture takes place at Selhurst Park (London).

Crystal Palace's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 4 defeats in 6 home matches, averaging 0.7 points per home match compared with 0.8 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.54 — 1.74 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

134%Crystal Palace
X24%Draw
242%Real Sociedad
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Crystal Palace
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Crystal Palace.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Real Sociedad
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Sociedad.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Crystal Palace18%
Real Sociedad21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Crystal Palace13%
Real Sociedad17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Crystal Palace44%
Real Sociedad56%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Crystal Palace
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Real Sociedad
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.92%
#21-28.75%
#32-17.75%
#42-26.74%
#50-15.91%
Combined Top 540.07%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Crystal Palace + BTTS20%
Real Sociedad + BTTS25%
Draw + BTTS20%

Crystal Palace Season

Rank#21
Points5
Matches Left34

Real Sociedad Season

Rank#20
Points5
Matches Left34

Crystal Palace Last 5

1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 1
Beşiktaş 2 - 2
Lyon 3 - 2

Real Sociedad Last 5

Lyon 1 - 1
Lillestrom 0 - 6
Union St. Gilloise 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Crystal Palace
D D L W
Real Sociedad
D W D L

Crystal Palace Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored5
Goals conceded1
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Real Sociedad Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.50
Goals scored7
Goals conceded1
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace
1.43
Real Sociedad
2.72

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at Selhurst Park. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DDLW) for Crystal Palace and 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWDL) for Real Sociedad. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Selhurst Park

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Crystal Palace is currently #21 with 5 points from 4 matches, while Real Sociedad is #20 with 5 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Crystal Palace at 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per home match, versus Real Sociedad at 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.43 for Crystal Palace and 2.72 for Real Sociedad.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.