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Empoli
D L L D D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Pisa
W D D L D
1X2 Empoli 41%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC X2 78%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Empoli 41% Draw 22% Pisa 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Empoli and Pisa?

Our prediction for the Empoli–Pisa match is: Pisa to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Empoli to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Empoli

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Empoli scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Pisa

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Pisa scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Empoli scored 1.20 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Pisa scored 1.80 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Ceesay contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.97/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, M. Tramoni contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.66/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. D'Aversa for Empoli and A. Gilardino for Pisa. The latest recorded formations are Empoli in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Pisa in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Empoli averaged 43.7% possession and 12.3 shots per match (4.1 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 7 matches, Pisa averaged 53.3% possession and 15.6 shots (5.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Empoli recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Pisa recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.25 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli).

Empoli's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 0.3 points per home match compared with 0.5 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.45 — 1.64 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

133%Empoli
X25%Draw
241%Pisa
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Empoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Empoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Pisa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Pisa.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Empoli19%
Pisa23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Empoli14%
Pisa18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Empoli45%
Pisa55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Empoli
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Pisa
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.73%
#21-28.84%
#32-17.84%
#40-16.76%
#52-26.42%
Combined Top 541.59%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Empoli + BTTS19%
Pisa + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Empoli Season

Rank#19
Points9
Matches Left27

Pisa Season

Rank#8
Points16
Matches Left27

Empoli Last 5

Padova 2 - 2
Juve Stabia 2 - 2
Cesena 2 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 0 - 2
Ascoli 1 - 1

Pisa Last 5

Sudtirol 2 - 2
Avellino 2 - 0
Palermo 3 - 3
Hellas Verona 1 - 1
Cremonese 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Empoli: 3 Draws: 2 Pisa: 0
2026 Pisa 1 - 1 Empoli
2021 Pisa 1 - 1 Empoli
2020 Empoli 3 - 1 Pisa
2020 Empoli 2 - 1 Pisa
2019 Pisa 2 - 3 Empoli

Form Analysis

Empoli
D D L L D
Pisa
D L D D W

Empoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored5
Goals conceded9
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.80

Pisa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli
1.17
Pisa
1.98

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Empoli vs Pisa is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLLD) for Empoli and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDDW) for Pisa. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Empoli is currently #19 with 9 points from 11 matches, while Pisa is #8 with 16 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Empoli won 3, 2 were drawn and Pisa won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Empoli at 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per home match, versus Pisa at 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.17 for Empoli and 1.98 for Pisa.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.