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Estac Troyes

L L L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Lens

L W L W L
1X2 Lens 44%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC X2 83%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Estac Troyes 33% Draw 23% Lens 44%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy100%
Premium Expected goals 1.57 — 1.78 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

134%Estac Troyes
X24%Draw
242%Lens
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Estac Troyes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Estac Troyes.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Lens
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lens.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 11%U 89%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Estac Troyes17%
Lens21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Estac Troyes13%
Lens17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Estac Troyes44%
Lens56%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Estac Troyes
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Lens
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.53%
#21-28.71%
#32-17.67%
#42-26.84%
#50-15.67%
Combined Top 539.42%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Estac Troyes + BTTS21%
Lens + BTTS26%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

13' ⚽ Adrien Monfray
26' ⚽ Timothee Nkada
45' ⚽ Odsonne Édouard
55' ⚽ Ruben Aguilar
60' 🔄 In: Samson Baidoo
60' 🔄 In: Kandet Diawara
64' 🔄 In: Noah Donkor
67' 🔄 In: Mezian Soares Mesloub
67' 🔄 In: Franjo Ivanovic
67' 🔄 In: Amadou Haidara
72' 🔄 In: Saud Abdulhamid
76' 🟥 Junior Diaz
76' 🟥 Renaud Ripart
77' 🟥 Samson Baidoo
79' 🔄 In: Jérémy Le Douaron
79' 🔄 In: Iron Gomis
82' 🟥 Amadou Haidara

Lineups

Estac Troyes Home
  • P. Beach
  • L. Maronnier
  • A. Monfray
  • M. Diaz
  • P. Gozzi
  • M. Diop
  • D. Karim
  • M. Ifnaoui
  • A. Mille
  • T. Nkada
  • R. Ripart
Lens Away
  • R. Risser
  • K. Antonio
  • I. Ganiou
  • J. Todibo
  • R. Aguilar
  • Y. Titraoui
  • A. Bulatović
  • M. Skóraś
  • F. Thauvin
  • F. Sotoca
  • O. Édouard

Estac Troyes Season

Rank#17
Points4
Matches Left27

Lens Season

Rank#9
Points10
Matches Left27

Estac Troyes Last 5

Lens 1 - 3
Marseille 0 - 2
Angers 2 - 0
Lille 2 - 0
Strasbourg 2 - 6

Lens Last 5

Club Brugge KV 3 - 0
Estac Troyes 1 - 3
Sporting CP 0 - 2
Lyon 2 - 1
Monaco 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Estac Troyes: 0 Draws: 1 Lens: 4
2026 Estac Troyes 2 - 4 Lens
2023 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Lens
2022 Lens 1 - 0 Estac Troyes
2022 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens
2021 Lens 4 - 0 Estac Troyes

Form Analysis

Estac Troyes
L L L L L
Lens
W W L D L

Estac Troyes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded11
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.75

Lens Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded7
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

Match Statistics

12Shots13
5Shots on Target3
6Corners4
41%Possession59%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Estac Troyes
1.42
Lens
2.89

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Estac Troyes vs Lens is a Ligue 1 football match on October 17, 2026 at Stade de l'Aube. Recent form is 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Estac Troyes and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLDL) for Lens. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stade de l'Aube

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Estac Troyes is currently #17 with 4 points from 7 matches, while Lens is #9 with 10 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Estac Troyes won 0, 1 were drawn and Lens won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Estac Troyes at 0.75 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per home match, versus Lens at 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.42 for Estac Troyes and 2.89 for Lens. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 1 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.