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FC Augsburg
D L D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

FSV Mainz 05
L W L L L
1X2 FC Augsburg 47%
O/U Over 2.5 68%
DC X2 66%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FC Augsburg 47% Draw 21% FSV Mainz 05 32%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05?

Our prediction for the FC Augsburg–FSV Mainz 05 match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

FC Augsburg to win (47% confidence); FSV Mainz 05 to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

FC Augsburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FC Augsburg scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

FSV Mainz 05

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FSV Mainz 05 scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, FC Augsburg and FSV Mainz 05 average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Rieder contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.07/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Caci contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.30/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list J. Thorup for FC Augsburg and U. Fischer for FSV Mainz 05. The latest recorded formations are FC Augsburg in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and FSV Mainz 05 in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, FC Augsburg averaged 45.9% possession and 15.9 shots per match (5.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, FSV Mainz 05 averaged 48.1% possession and 15.5 shots (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, FC Augsburg recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, FSV Mainz 05 recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 2.25 points, 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at WWK Arena (Augsburg).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for FC Augsburg: 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.64 — 1.63 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%FC Augsburg
X24%Draw
238%FSV Mainz 05
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

FC Augsburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FC Augsburg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%
FSV Mainz 05
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FSV Mainz 05.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

FC Augsburg20%
FSV Mainz 0519%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

FC Augsburg15%
FSV Mainz 0515%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

FC Augsburg50%
FSV Mainz 0550%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

FC Augsburg
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 24%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
FSV Mainz 05
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 24%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.91%
#22-18.32%
#31-28.26%
#42-26.76%
#51-05.72%
Combined Top 539.97%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

FC Augsburg + BTTS23%
FSV Mainz 05 + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

FC Augsburg Season

Rank#14
Points9
Matches Left25

FSV Mainz 05 Season

Rank#12
Points10
Matches Left25

FC Augsburg Last 5

RB Leipzig 5 - 2
SC Freiburg 1 - 2
Union Berlin 1 - 1
SV Elversberg 4 - 3
Bayern München 2 - 2

FSV Mainz 05 Last 5

Bayern München 1 - 2
SV Elversberg 4 - 1
Werder Bremen 2 - 3
FC Schalke 04 0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 4

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg: 0 Draws: 1 FSV Mainz 05: 4
2026 FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 FC Augsburg
2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 4 FSV Mainz 05
2025 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 FC Augsburg
2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 3 FSV Mainz 05
2024 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 FC Augsburg

Form Analysis

FC Augsburg
L L D L D
FSV Mainz 05
L L L W L

FC Augsburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

FSV Mainz 05 Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.75
Goals scored11
Goals conceded7
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg
1.64
FSV Mainz 05
1.87

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 is a Bundesliga football match on November 22, 2026 at WWK Arena. Recent form is 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDLD) for FC Augsburg and 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLLWL) for FSV Mainz 05. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 WWK Arena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, FC Augsburg is currently #14 with 9 points from 9 matches, while FSV Mainz 05 is #12 with 10 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: FC Augsburg won 0, 1 were drawn and FSV Mainz 05 won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FC Augsburg at 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus FSV Mainz 05 at 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.64 for FC Augsburg and 1.87 for FSV Mainz 05.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.