OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings Our data
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Us Contact Privacy
Home

FC St. Pauli
W D D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

VfL Bochum
L L D W W
1X2 VfL Bochum 42%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC 1X 68%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FC St. Pauli 32% Draw 25% VfL Bochum 42%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between FC St. Pauli and VfL Bochum?

Our prediction for the FC St. Pauli–VfL Bochum match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

VfL Bochum to win (42% confidence); FC St. Pauli to win or draw (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

FC St. Pauli

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FC St. Pauli scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

VfL Bochum

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, VfL Bochum scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, FC St. Pauli and VfL Bochum average 2.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Abdoulie Ceesay contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.27/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, P. Hofmann contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.48/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, VfL Bochum records a mean of 6.69/10 versus 6.38/10 for FC St. Pauli.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list A. Blessin for FC St. Pauli and D. Hecking for VfL Bochum. The latest recorded formations are FC St. Pauli in 3-4-1-2 (Nov 8, 2026) and VfL Bochum in 4-4-2 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, FC St. Pauli averaged 49.2% possession and 14.8 shots per match (4.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 6 matches, VfL Bochum averaged 52.0% possession and 17.2 shots (5.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This 2. Bundesliga fixture takes place at Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for FC St. Pauli, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.58 — 1.51 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%FC St. Pauli
X25%Draw
236%VfL Bochum
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

FC St. Pauli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FC St. Pauli.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
VfL Bochum
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for VfL Bochum.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

FC St. Pauli22%
VfL Bochum21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

FC St. Pauli17%
VfL Bochum15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

FC St. Pauli52%
VfL Bochum48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

FC St. Pauli
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
VfL Bochum
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.67%
#22-18.55%
#31-28.18%
#41-06.56%
#52-26.46%
Combined Top 541.42%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

FC St. Pauli + BTTS22%
VfL Bochum + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

FC St. Pauli Season

Rank#9
Points12
Matches Left27

VfL Bochum Season

Rank#8
Points14
Matches Left27

FC St. Pauli Last 5

1. FC Magdeburg 4 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg 1 - 3
SV Darmstadt 98 0 - 0
Hannover 96 1 - 1
Karlsruher SC 2 - 0

VfL Bochum Last 5

Karlsruher SC 3 - 2
Energie Cottbus 1 - 2
VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1
1. FC Kaiserslautern 2 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

FC St. Pauli: 0 Draws: 1 VfL Bochum: 4
2025 FC St. Pauli 0 - 2 VfL Bochum
2025 VfL Bochum 1 - 0 FC St. Pauli
2021 FC St. Pauli 2 - 3 Vfl Bochum
2020 Vfl Bochum 2 - 2 FC St. Pauli
2020 Vfl Bochum 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli

Form Analysis

FC St. Pauli
L L D D W
VfL Bochum
W W D L L

FC St. Pauli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

VfL Bochum Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC St. Pauli
1.50
VfL Bochum
1.33

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Millerntor-Stadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LLDDW) for FC St. Pauli and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WWDLL) for VfL Bochum. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Millerntor-Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, FC St. Pauli is currently #9 with 12 points from 11 matches, while VfL Bochum is #8 with 14 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: FC St. Pauli won 0, 1 were drawn and VfL Bochum won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FC St. Pauli at 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus VfL Bochum at 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.50 for FC St. Pauli and 1.33 for VfL Bochum.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.