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Feyenoord
W L D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Excelsior
L L L L L
1X2 Feyenoord 55%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Feyenoord 55% Draw 22% Excelsior 23%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Feyenoord and Excelsior?

Our prediction for the Feyenoord–Excelsior match is: Feyenoord to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Feyenoord to win (55% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Feyenoord

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Feyenoord scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Excelsior

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Excelsior scored an average of 0.20 goals and conceded 4.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Feyenoord scored 1.20 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Excelsior scored 0.20 and conceded 4.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Hadj-Moussa contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.10/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, I. Yegoian contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.60/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Feyenoord records a mean of 6.64/10 versus 6.33/10 for Excelsior.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Feyenoord in 4-3-3 (Nov 3, 2026) and Excelsior in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Feyenoord averaged 49.7% possession and 15.0 shots per match (6.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, Excelsior averaged 41.0% possession and 9.1 shots (2.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Feyenoord recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.83 points, 2.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Excelsior recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Eredivisie fixture takes place at De Kuip (Rotterdam).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Feyenoord: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.7 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.71 — 1.46 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Feyenoord
X25%Draw
232%Excelsior
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Feyenoord
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Feyenoord.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Excelsior
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Excelsior.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Feyenoord23%
Excelsior18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Feyenoord18%
Excelsior13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Feyenoord57%
Excelsior43%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Feyenoord
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 25%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Excelsior
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 25%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.24%
#22-18.95%
#31-27.64%
#41-06.62%
#52-26.53%
Combined Top 540.98%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Feyenoord + BTTS25%
Excelsior + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Feyenoord Season

Rank#1
Points25
Matches Left27

Excelsior Season

Rank#15
Points11
Matches Left26

Feyenoord Last 5

Inter 0 - 3
Fortuna Sittard 1 - 1
PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1
Real Betis 1 - 0
Telstar 3 - 4

Excelsior Last 5

GO Ahead Eagles 0 - 1
Twente 0 - 9
Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0
Heerenveen 4 - 0
Groningen 1 - 5

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Feyenoord
D D W W W
Excelsior
L L L L L

Feyenoord Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.40
Goals scored12
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Excelsior Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Feyenoord
1.92
Excelsior
1.22

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Feyenoord vs Excelsior is a Eredivisie football match on November 21, 2026 at De Kuip. Recent form is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DDWWW) for Feyenoord and 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for Excelsior. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 De Kuip

Standings & Context

In the Eredivisie standings, Feyenoord is currently #1 with 25 points from 11 matches, while Excelsior is #15 with 11 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Feyenoord at 2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Excelsior at 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.92 for Feyenoord and 1.22 for Excelsior.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.