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Fluminense
L L L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Cruzeiro
L W W W W
1X2 Fluminense 43%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC 1X 70%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Fluminense 43% Draw 23% Cruzeiro 34%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Cruzeiro?

Our prediction for the Fluminense–Cruzeiro match is: Fluminense to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Fluminense to win (43% confidence); over 2.5 goals (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Fluminense

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Fluminense scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Cruzeiro

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cruzeiro scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Fluminense scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Cruzeiro scored 2.20 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Agustín Canobbio contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.95/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Kaio Jorge contributed 6 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.72/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Renato Gaúcho for Fluminense and Leonardo Jardim for Cruzeiro. The latest recorded formations are Fluminense in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Cruzeiro in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Fluminense averaged 57.6% possession and 12.6 shots per match (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, Cruzeiro averaged 54.0% possession and 16.6 shots (6.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Fluminense recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.25 points, 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Cruzeiro recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.50 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Estádio do Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro).

Recent results show that Fluminense have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 1.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.58 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Fluminense
X24%Draw
235%Cruzeiro
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Fluminense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Fluminense.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Cruzeiro
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cruzeiro.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Fluminense21%
Cruzeiro18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Fluminense16%
Cruzeiro14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Fluminense54%
Cruzeiro46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Fluminense
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Cruzeiro
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.86%
#22-18.60%
#31-27.91%
#42-26.79%
#51-05.74%
Combined Top 539.90%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Fluminense + BTTS24%
Cruzeiro + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Fluminense Season

Rank#4
Points57
Matches Left4

Cruzeiro Season

Rank#3
Points60
Matches Left4

Fluminense Last 5

Vitoria 0 - 3
Internacional 2 - 1
Chapecoense-sc 2 - 1
Santos 1 - 2
Flamengo 1 - 0

Cruzeiro Last 5

Bahia 3 - 2
Atletico-MG 0 - 1
Remo 1 - 0
Gremio 2 - 4
RB Bragantino 4 - 2

Head-to-Head

Fluminense: 1 Draws: 2 Cruzeiro: 2
2026 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Fluminense
2025 Cruzeiro 0 - 0 Fluminense
2025 Fluminense 0 - 2 Cruzeiro
2024 Fluminense 1 - 0 Cruzeiro
2024 Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Fluminense

Form Analysis

Fluminense
W W L L L
Cruzeiro
W W W W L

Fluminense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.82
Goals scored31
Goals conceded17
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Cruzeiro Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.47
Goals scored25
Goals conceded30
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.76

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense
2.04
Cruzeiro
1.61

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Fluminense vs Cruzeiro is a Brasileirão football match on November 27, 2026 at Maracanã. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WWLLL) for Fluminense and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWWL) for Cruzeiro. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Nov 2026
📍 Maracanã

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Fluminense is currently #4 with 57 points from 34 matches, while Cruzeiro is #3 with 60 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Fluminense won 1, 2 were drawn and Cruzeiro won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Fluminense at 1.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Cruzeiro at 1.47 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.04 for Fluminense and 1.61 for Cruzeiro.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.