What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Mirassol?
Our prediction for the Fluminense–Mirassol match is: Fluminense to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Fluminense to win (59% confidence); under 3.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)
Fluminense
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Fluminense scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
Mirassol
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Mirassol scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Fluminense scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Mirassol scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Agustín Canobbio contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.95/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Reinaldo contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.99/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Fluminense records a mean of 6.87/10 versus 6.58/10 for Mirassol.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Renato Gaúcho for Fluminense and Rafael Guanaes for Mirassol. The latest recorded formations are Fluminense in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Mirassol in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 3, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Fluminense averaged 57.6% possession and 12.6 shots per match (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, Mirassol averaged 50.4% possession and 14.8 shots (4.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Fluminense recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.25 points, 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Mirassol recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.17 points, 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Estádio do Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro).
Recent results show that Fluminense have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 1.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.