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Gimnasia L.P.
D W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Newells Old Boys
L W D D D
1X2 Gimnasia L.P. 56%
O/U Under 2.5 60%
DC 1X 80%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Gimnasia L.P. 56% Draw 20% Newells Old Boys 24%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Gimnasia L.P. and Newells Old Boys?

Our prediction for the Gimnasia L.P.–Newells Old Boys match is: Gimnasia L.P. to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Gimnasia L.P. to win (56% confidence); under 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Gimnasia L.P.

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Gimnasia L.P. scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Newells Old Boys

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Newells Old Boys scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Gimnasia L.P. scored 1.80 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Newells Old Boys scored 1.00 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, I. Fernández contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.35/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Mattar contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.72/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Gimnasia L.P. records a mean of 6.73/10 versus 6.45/10 for Newells Old Boys.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists A. Orfila as coach of Gimnasia L.P.. The latest recorded formations are Gimnasia L.P. in 4-3-1-2 (Nov 5, 2026) and Newells Old Boys in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Gimnasia L.P. averaged 48.6% possession and 14.6 shots per match (4.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Newells Old Boys averaged 53.3% possession and 11.5 shots (3.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Gimnasia L.P. recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Newells Old Boys recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture takes place at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Gimnasia L.P.: 2.0 points per home match compared with 2.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.55 — 1.35 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Gimnasia L.P.
X26%Draw
233%Newells Old Boys
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Gimnasia L.P.
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Gimnasia L.P..

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Newells Old Boys
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Newells Old Boys.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Gimnasia L.P.26%
Newells Old Boys21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Gimnasia L.P.20%
Newells Old Boys15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Gimnasia L.P.56%
Newells Old Boys44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Gimnasia L.P.
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Newells Old Boys
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.49%
#22-18.88%
#31-07.80%
#41-27.76%
#50-16.72%
Combined Top 543.65%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Gimnasia L.P. + BTTS22%
Newells Old Boys + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Gimnasia L.P. Season

Rank#5
Points57
Matches Left6

Newells Old Boys Season

Rank#22
Points38
Matches Left6

Gimnasia L.P. Last 5

Belgrano Cordoba 2 - 1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1 - 2
Sarmiento Junin 2 - 0
Huracan 1 - 2
Atletico Tucuman 1 - 1

Newells Old Boys Last 5

Instituto Cordoba 2 - 2
Union Santa Fe 1 - 1
San Lorenzo 0 - 0
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 - 1
Gimnasia M. 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Gimnasia L.P.: 3 Draws: 1 Newells Old Boys: 1
2024 Gimnasia L.P. 1 - 0 Newells Old Boys
2023 Newells Old Boys 2 - 2 Gimnasia L.P.
2022 Newells Old Boys 2 - 0 Gimnasia L.P.
2022 Gimnasia L.P. 3 - 1 Newells Old Boys
2021 Gimnasia L.P. 1 - 0 Newells Old Boys

Form Analysis

Gimnasia L.P.
W W W W D
Newells Old Boys
D D D W L

Gimnasia L.P. Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Newells Old Boys Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gimnasia L.P.
1.45
Newells Old Boys
0.84

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Gimnasia L.P. vs Newells Old Boys is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. Recent form is 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWD) for Gimnasia L.P. and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DDDWL) for Newells Old Boys. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Gimnasia L.P. is currently #5 with 57 points from 32 matches, while Newells Old Boys is #22 with 38 points from 32. Recent head-to-head history: Gimnasia L.P. won 3, 1 were drawn and Newells Old Boys won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Gimnasia L.P. at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Newells Old Boys at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.45 for Gimnasia L.P. and 0.84 for Newells Old Boys.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.