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Granada CF
W W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Las Palmas
L L W W W
1X2 Granada CF 55%
O/U Over 2.5 77%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Granada CF 55% Draw 20% Las Palmas 25%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Granada CF and Las Palmas?

Our prediction for the Granada CF–Las Palmas match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Granada CF to win (55% confidence); Granada CF to win or draw (74% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Granada CF

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Granada CF scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

Las Palmas

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Las Palmas scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Granada CF and Las Palmas average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Gumbau contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.45/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Jesé contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.10/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Granada CF records a mean of 7.03/10 versus 6.85/10 for Las Palmas.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Granada CF in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 1, 2026) and Las Palmas in 4-3-3 (Nov 9, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Granada CF averaged 51.6% possession and 14.7 shots per match (4.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Las Palmas averaged 50.5% possession and 10.3 shots (3.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Granada CF recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Las Palmas recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.20 points, 1.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Granada CF: 1.8 points per home match compared with 2.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.81 — 1.58 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Granada CF
X24%Draw
233%Las Palmas
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Granada CF
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Granada CF.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Las Palmas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Las Palmas.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Granada CF21%
Las Palmas16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Granada CF17%
Las Palmas12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Granada CF56%
Las Palmas44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Granada CF
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Las Palmas
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.38%
#22-18.70%
#31-27.60%
#42-26.88%
#51-05.53%
Combined Top 539.09%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Granada CF + BTTS26%
Las Palmas + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Granada CF Season

Rank#5
Points23
Matches Left26

Las Palmas Season

Rank#10
Points20
Matches Left25

Granada CF Last 5

Eldense 0 - 2
Valladolid 2 - 1
Cadiz 2 - 0
Burgos 0 - 1
Real Sociedad II 2 - 3

Las Palmas Last 5

Eldense 2 - 0
Oviedo 2 - 3
Real Sociedad II 1 - 0
Castellón 0 - 3
Mallorca 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Granada CF: 0 Draws: 3 Las Palmas: 2
2026 Las Palmas 2 - 0 Granada CF
2025 Granada CF 0 - 0 Las Palmas
2024 Las Palmas 1 - 1 Granada CF
2024 Granada CF 1 - 1 Las Palmas
2023 Las Palmas 1 - 0 Granada CF

Form Analysis

Granada CF
W W W W W
Las Palmas
W W W L L

Granada CF Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Las Palmas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded13
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Granada CF
2.49
Las Palmas
1.69

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Granada CF vs Las Palmas is a Football football match on November 15, 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Recent form is 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Granada CF and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Las Palmas. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 15 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Granada CF is currently #5 with 23 points from 12 matches, while Las Palmas is #10 with 20 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Granada CF won 0, 3 were drawn and Las Palmas won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Granada CF at 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Las Palmas at 1.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.49 for Granada CF and 1.69 for Las Palmas.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.