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Groningen
W L D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Heerenveen
L W W W W
1X2 Heerenveen 49%
O/U Over 2.5 80%
DC X2 78%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Groningen 29% Draw 21% Heerenveen 49%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Groningen and Heerenveen?

Our prediction for the Groningen–Heerenveen match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Heerenveen to win (49% confidence); Heerenveen to win or draw (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Groningen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Groningen scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 3.00 per match.

Heerenveen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Heerenveen scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Groningen and Heerenveen average 5.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Willumsson contributed 5 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.75/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Trenskow contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.83/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Heerenveen records a mean of 6.79/10 versus 6.40/10 for Groningen.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list D. Lukkien for Groningen and O. Tobiasen for Heerenveen. The latest recorded formations are Groningen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Heerenveen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Groningen averaged 48.4% possession and 13.8 shots per match (5.6 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 8 matches, Heerenveen averaged 49.6% possession and 15.9 shots (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Groningen recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.80 points, 2.20 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. Away from home, Heerenveen recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 2.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Eredivisie fixture takes place at Euroborg (Groningen).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Groningen: 0.8 points per home match compared with 1.3 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.60 — 1.76 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Groningen
X24%Draw
241%Heerenveen
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Groningen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Groningen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Heerenveen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Heerenveen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Groningen17%
Heerenveen20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Groningen13%
Heerenveen16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Groningen46%
Heerenveen54%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Groningen
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Heerenveen
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.50%
#21-28.57%
#32-17.82%
#42-26.88%
#50-15.53%
Combined Top 539.30%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Groningen + BTTS22%
Heerenveen + BTTS25%
Draw + BTTS20%

Groningen Season

Rank#9
Points15
Matches Left26

Heerenveen Season

Rank#6
Points21
Matches Left26

Groningen Last 5

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 3
Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 3
NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2
Ajax 2 - 5
Excelsior 1 - 5

Heerenveen Last 5

Feyenoord 5 - 3
NEC Nijmegen 1 - 0
ADO Den Haag 2 - 3
Excelsior 4 - 0
PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Groningen: 3 Draws: 0 Heerenveen: 2
2026 Heerenveen 0 - 2 Groningen
2025 Groningen 2 - 1 Heerenveen
2025 Groningen 1 - 0 Heerenveen
2024 Heerenveen 2 - 1 Groningen
2023 Groningen 0 - 2 Heerenveen

Form Analysis

Groningen
L L D L W
Heerenveen
W W W W L

Groningen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.17
Goals scored13
Goals conceded14
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.33

Heerenveen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.20
Goals scored11
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Groningen
1.68
Heerenveen
2.77

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Groningen vs Heerenveen is a Eredivisie football match on November 21, 2026 at Euroborg. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDLW) for Groningen and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWWL) for Heerenveen. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Euroborg

Standings & Context

In the Eredivisie standings, Groningen is currently #9 with 15 points from 12 matches, while Heerenveen is #6 with 21 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Groningen won 3, 0 were drawn and Heerenveen won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Groningen at 2.17 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per home match, versus Heerenveen at 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.68 for Groningen and 2.77 for Heerenveen.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.