What is the prediction for the football match between Guadalajara Chivas and Cruz Azul?
Our prediction for the Guadalajara Chivas–Cruz Azul match is: Cruz Azul to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)
Guadalajara Chivas
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Guadalajara Chivas scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.
Cruz Azul
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cruz Azul scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Guadalajara Chivas scored 1.60 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Cruz Azul scored 3.00 and conceded 1.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Santiago Sandoval contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.07/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Montaño contributed 5 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.68/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list G. Milito for Guadalajara Chivas and N. Larcamón for Cruz Azul. The latest recorded formations are Guadalajara Chivas in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 9, 2026) and Cruz Azul in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Guadalajara Chivas averaged 59.6% possession and 17.3 shots per match (5.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Cruz Azul averaged 53.6% possession and 17.1 shots (6.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Guadalajara Chivas recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Cruz Azul recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Akron (Zapopan).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Guadalajara Chivas: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.5 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.