OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Cruz Azul

W W W W W
1X2 Guadalajara Chivas 41%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC X2 70%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Guadalajara Chivas 41% Draw 23% Cruz Azul 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Guadalajara Chivas and Cruz Azul?

Our prediction for the Guadalajara Chivas–Cruz Azul match is: Cruz Azul to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Guadalajara Chivas

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Guadalajara Chivas scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Cruz Azul

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cruz Azul scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Guadalajara Chivas scored 1.60 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Cruz Azul scored 3.00 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Santiago Sandoval contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.07/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Montaño contributed 5 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.68/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list G. Milito for Guadalajara Chivas and N. Larcamón for Cruz Azul. The latest recorded formations are Guadalajara Chivas in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 9, 2026) and Cruz Azul in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Guadalajara Chivas averaged 59.6% possession and 17.3 shots per match (5.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Cruz Azul averaged 53.6% possession and 17.1 shots (6.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Guadalajara Chivas recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Cruz Azul recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 2.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Akron (Zapopan).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Guadalajara Chivas: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.5 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.64 — 1.66 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Guadalajara Chivas
X24%Draw
238%Cruz Azul
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Guadalajara Chivas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Guadalajara Chivas.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Cruz Azul
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cruz Azul.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Guadalajara Chivas19%
Cruz Azul19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Guadalajara Chivas15%
Cruz Azul15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Guadalajara Chivas49%
Cruz Azul51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Guadalajara Chivas
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 24%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Cruz Azul
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 24%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.86%
#21-28.31%
#32-18.21%
#42-26.82%
#50-15.50%
Combined Top 539.70%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Guadalajara Chivas + BTTS23%
Cruz Azul + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Guadalajara Chivas Season

Rank#3
Points30
Matches Left22

Cruz Azul Season

Rank#1
Points32
Matches Left22

Guadalajara Chivas Last 5

Leon 1 - 1
Atlante FC 4 - 2
Monterrey 0 - 1
Necaxa 1 - 0
Tigres UANL 1 - 1

Cruz Azul Last 5

Tigres UANL 2 - 3
Leon 2 - 1
Club Queretaro 1 - 3
CF Pachuca 1 - 2
FC Juarez 5 - 0

Head-to-Head

Guadalajara Chivas: 0 Draws: 2 Cruz Azul: 3
2026 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 2 Cruz Azul
2026 Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas
2026 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas
2025 Cruz Azul 3 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas
2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 0 Cruz Azul

Form Analysis

Guadalajara Chivas
D W W W D
Cruz Azul
W W W W W

Guadalajara Chivas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.88
Goals scored15
Goals conceded9
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.13

Cruz Azul Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored18
Goals conceded13
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.63

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Guadalajara Chivas
1.63
Cruz Azul
2.05

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Estadio AKRON. Recent form is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWWD) for Guadalajara Chivas and 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Cruz Azul. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio AKRON

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Guadalajara Chivas is currently #3 with 30 points from 16 matches, while Cruz Azul is #1 with 32 points from 16. Recent head-to-head history: Guadalajara Chivas won 0, 2 were drawn and Cruz Azul won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Guadalajara Chivas at 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per home match, versus Cruz Azul at 2.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.63 for Guadalajara Chivas and 2.05 for Cruz Azul.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.