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Hellas Verona
D D W W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Cesena
D L W D W
1X2 Hellas Verona 54%
O/U Over 1.5 75%
DC 1X 89%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Hellas Verona 54% Draw 22% Cesena 24%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Hellas Verona and Cesena?

Our prediction for the Hellas Verona–Cesena match is: Hellas Verona to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Hellas Verona to win (54% confidence); over 1.5 goals (75% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

Hellas Verona

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Hellas Verona scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

Cesena

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cesena scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Hellas Verona scored 1.40 and conceded 0.60 per match across 5 covered games; Cesena scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Sarr contributed 1 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.30/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, C. Shpendi contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.38/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list P. Zanetti for Hellas Verona and M. Mignani for Cesena. The latest recorded formations are Hellas Verona in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Cesena in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Hellas Verona averaged 49.1% possession and 15.0 shots per match (4.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 6 matches, Cesena averaged 45.3% possession and 13.8 shots (3.7 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Hellas Verona recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Cesena recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 0.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.29 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%Hellas Verona
X25%Draw
228%Cesena
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Hellas Verona
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Hellas Verona.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Cesena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cesena.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 37%U 63%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Hellas Verona27%
Cesena18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Hellas Verona22%
Cesena12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Hellas Verona63%
Cesena37%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Hellas Verona
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 25%L 28%
+0.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
+1W 72%P 16%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Cesena
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 16%L 72%
-0.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
0W 28%P 25%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.85%
#22-19.38%
#31-07.78%
#42-07.28%
#51-27.03%
Combined Top 543.32%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Hellas Verona + BTTS25%
Cesena + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

Hellas Verona Season

Rank#7
Points16
Matches Left27

Cesena Season

Rank#11
Points15
Matches Left27

Hellas Verona Last 5

Mantova 0 - 0
Carrarese 3 - 0
Juve Stabia 0 - 1
Pisa 1 - 1
Catanzaro 2 - 2

Cesena Last 5

Catanzaro 1 - 0
Sudtirol 1 - 1
Empoli 2 - 1
Modena 3 - 0
Avellino 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Hellas Verona: 1 Draws: 3 Cesena: 1
2024 Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Cesena
2017 Cesena 0 - 0 Hellas Verona
2016 Hellas Verona 3 - 0 Cesena
2015 Hellas Verona 3 - 3 Cesena
2014 Cesena 1 - 1 Hellas Verona

Form Analysis

Hellas Verona
D W W D D
Cesena
W D W L D

Hellas Verona Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.33
Goals scored14
Goals conceded6
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Cesena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hellas Verona
2.03
Cesena
0.67

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Hellas Verona vs Cesena is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Recent form is 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWDD) for Hellas Verona and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWLD) for Cesena. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Hellas Verona is currently #7 with 16 points from 11 matches, while Cesena is #11 with 15 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Hellas Verona won 1, 3 were drawn and Cesena won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Hellas Verona at 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Cesena at 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.03 for Hellas Verona and 0.67 for Cesena.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.