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Holstein Kiel

L D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
1X2 Holstein Kiel 52%
O/U Under 2.5 86%
DC 1X 82%
BTTS No 48%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Holstein Kiel 52% Draw 22% Arminia Bielefeld 26%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy0%
Premium Expected goals 1.34 — 1.19 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Holstein Kiel
X28%Draw
232%Arminia Bielefeld
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes52%
No48%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 73%U 27%
O/U 2.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 3.5O 25%U 75%
O/U 4.5O 11%U 89%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Holstein Kiel
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Holstein Kiel.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Arminia Bielefeld
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Arminia Bielefeld.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 88%

A different goal line with 88% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 70%U 30%
1.5O 33%U 67%
2.5O 12%U 88%
3.5O 3%U 97%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Holstein Kiel30%
Arminia Bielefeld26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Holstein Kiel22%
Arminia Bielefeld17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Holstein Kiel55%
Arminia Bielefeld45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Holstein Kiel
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 21%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 28%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 19%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Arminia Bielefeld
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 19%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 28%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 21%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.71%
#21-09.92%
#30-18.72%
#40-08.70%
#52-18.48%
Combined Top 549.53%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Holstein Kiel + BTTS18%
Arminia Bielefeld + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' ⚽ Hiroki Sekine
29' 🟥 Jannik Rochelt
41' 🟥 Arne Sicker
43' 🟥 Joel Grodowski
45' 🔄 In: Giorgi Kvilitaia
45' 🔄 In: Adrian Kapralik
51' 🔄 In: Tim Handwerker
57' 🟥 Leon Jensen
57' ⚽
58' 🟥 Leon Parduzi
59' ⚽ Joel Grodowski
64' 🔄 In: B.Boakye
64' 🔄 In: Isaiah Young
64' 🔄 In: Leon Schneider
65' 🟥 Jonas Meffert
67' 🔄 In: Ivan Nekić
68' 🔄 In: Steven Skrzybski
76' ⚽ Hiroki Sekine
77' 🔄 In: Andu Yobel Kelati
80' ⚽ Isaiah Young
84' 🔄 In: Felix Hagmann
87' 🟥 Jonas Thomas Kersken
88' 🟥 Leon Schneider

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Home
  • T. Weiner
  • H. Sekine
  • N. Madsen
  • S. Schonlau
  • Leon Parduzi
  • G. Balzi
  • J. Meffert
  • K. Davidsen
  • G. de Regt
  • P. Harres
  • J. Therkelsen
Arminia Bielefeld Away
  • J. Kersken
  • M. Bauer
  • S. Russo
  • M. Großer
  • H. Koudossou
  • L. Jensen
  • M. Wörl
  • A. Sicker
  • M. Momuluh
  • J. Rochelt
  • J. Grodowski

Holstein Kiel Season

Rank#18
Points8
Matches Left27

Arminia Bielefeld Season

Rank#6
Points17
Matches Left27

Holstein Kiel Last 5

Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 0
Dynamo Dresden 3 - 0
Hertha BSC 0 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig 1 - 0

Arminia Bielefeld Last 5

Holstein Kiel 1 - 2
Eintracht Braunschweig 3 - 1
Hertha BSC 1 - 0
VfL Osnabrück 2 - 1
VfL Bochum 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel: 0 Draws: 2 Arminia Bielefeld: 3
2026 Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
2025 Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 Arminia Bielefeld
2023 Holstein Kiel 2 - 3 Arminia Bielefeld
2023 Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 1 Holstein Kiel
2023 Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld

Form Analysis

Holstein Kiel
L L W D L
Arminia Bielefeld
W W L W W

Holstein Kiel Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored9
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Arminia Bielefeld Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

15Shots5
4Shots on Target4
6Corners5
75%Possession25%
2Yellow Cards6

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel
0.86
Arminia Bielefeld
0.45

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Holstein-Stadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWDL) for Holstein Kiel and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWLWW) for Arminia Bielefeld. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Holstein-Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Holstein Kiel is currently #18 with 8 points from 11 matches, while Arminia Bielefeld is #6 with 17 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Holstein Kiel won 0, 2 were drawn and Arminia Bielefeld won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Holstein Kiel at 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home match, versus Arminia Bielefeld at 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.86 for Holstein Kiel and 0.45 for Arminia Bielefeld. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 0% (result: 1 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.