What is the prediction for the football match between Hull City and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Hull City–Brighton match is: Brighton to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Brighton to win (46% confidence); over 2.5 goals (59% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)
Hull City
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Hull City scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
Brighton
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Brighton scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Hull City scored 1.00 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; Brighton scored 2.00 and conceded 0.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, O. McBurnie contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.93/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Y. Ayari contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.09/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Brighton records a mean of 6.71/10 versus 6.50/10 for Hull City.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists F. Hürzeler as coach of Brighton. The latest recorded formations are Hull City in 5-3-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Brighton in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Hull City averaged 34.4% possession and 11.0 shots per match (3.1 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Brighton averaged 56.0% possession and 16.6 shots (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Hull City recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Brighton recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.80 points, 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Premier League fixture takes place at MKM Stadium (Hull).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Hull City: 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.