OpWin.

Home

Ipswich

L W L D D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Bournemouth

W W W W W
1X2 Bournemouth 48%
O/U Over 2.5 68%
DC X2 74%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Ipswich 31% Draw 22% Bournemouth 48%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Ipswich and Bournemouth?

Our prediction for the Ipswich–Bournemouth match is: Bournemouth to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bournemouth to win (48% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Ipswich

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Ipswich scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Bournemouth

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 0.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Ipswich scored 1.40 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Bournemouth scored 2.60 and conceded 0.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Ouattara contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.15/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Evanilson contributed 4 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.98/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Bournemouth records a mean of 6.91/10 versus 6.52/10 for Ipswich.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Ipswich in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Bournemouth in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Ipswich averaged 48.0% possession and 11.4 shots per match (4.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Bournemouth averaged 53.6% possession and 16.9 shots (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Ipswich recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Bournemouth recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 2.25 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Premier League fixture takes place at Portman Road (Ipswich).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Ipswich: 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.52 — 1.66 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Ipswich
X25%Draw
241%Bournemouth
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Ipswich
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Ipswich.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Bournemouth
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bournemouth.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Ipswich19%
Bournemouth22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Ipswich14%
Bournemouth17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Ipswich46%
Bournemouth54%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Ipswich
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Bournemouth
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.40%
#21-28.69%
#32-17.96%
#42-26.59%
#50-16.27%
Combined Top 540.91%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Ipswich + BTTS20%
Bournemouth + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Ipswich Season

Rank#14
Points11
Matches Left29

Bournemouth Season

Rank#8
Points12
Matches Left29

Ipswich Last 5

Hull City 2 - 2
Nottingham Forest 1 - 1
Manchester City 3 - 2
Fulham 2 - 1
Everton 1 - 0

Bournemouth Last 5

Sparta Praha 1 - 3
Leeds 2 - 0
Manchester United 0 - 3
AC Milan 3 - 0
Sunderland 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Ipswich: 1 Draws: 3 Bournemouth: 1
2025 Bournemouth 1 - 2 Ipswich
2024 Ipswich 1 - 2 Bournemouth
2015 Ipswich 1 - 1 Bournemouth
2014 Bournemouth 2 - 2 Ipswich
2014 Ipswich 2 - 2 Bournemouth

Form Analysis

Ipswich
D D L W L
Bournemouth
W W W L L

Ipswich Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Bournemouth Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded9
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich
1.43
Bournemouth
2.10

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Ipswich vs Bournemouth is a Premier League football match on November 8, 2026 at Portman Road. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLWL) for Ipswich and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Bournemouth. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 8 Nov 2026
📍 Portman Road

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Ipswich is currently #14 with 11 points from 9 matches, while Bournemouth is #8 with 12 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Ipswich won 1, 3 were drawn and Bournemouth won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Ipswich at 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Bournemouth at 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.43 for Ipswich and 2.10 for Bournemouth.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.