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Jong Ajax
L W D D W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Heracles
W W D W W
1X2 Jong Ajax 44%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC X2 79%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Jong Ajax 44% Draw 20% Heracles 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Jong Ajax and Heracles?

Our prediction for the Jong Ajax–Heracles match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Jong Ajax to win (44% confidence); Heracles to win or draw (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Jong Ajax

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Jong Ajax scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Heracles

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Heracles scored an average of 3.20 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Jong Ajax and Heracles average 5.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Ünüvar contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. N'djoli contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.66/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list W. Weijs for Jong Ajax and E. Faber for Heracles. The latest recorded formations are Jong Ajax in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Heracles in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Jong Ajax averaged 46.0% possession and 15.7 shots per match (6.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Heracles averaged 58.1% possession and 22.4 shots (8.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Jong Ajax recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Heracles recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.25 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Jong Ajax, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.42 — 1.65 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Jong Ajax
X25%Draw
242%Heracles
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Jong Ajax
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jong Ajax.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Heracles
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Heracles.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Jong Ajax19%
Heracles24%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Jong Ajax14%
Heracles19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Jong Ajax43%
Heracles57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Jong Ajax
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Heracles
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.72%
#21-28.95%
#32-17.71%
#40-17.06%
#52-26.35%
Combined Top 541.79%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Jong Ajax + BTTS18%
Heracles + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Jong Ajax Season

Rank#18
Points0
Matches Left38

Heracles Season

Rank#16
Points0
Matches Left38

Jong Ajax Last 5

FC Eindhoven 0 - 3
Vitesse 1 - 1
FC OSS 3 - 3
De Graafschap 2 - 1
VVV Venlo 0 - 3

Heracles Last 5

Roda 5 - 1
FC OSS 2 - 0
NAC Breda 1 - 1
MVV 1 - 5
Waalwijk 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

Jong Ajax: 1 Draws: 0 Heracles: 1
2023 Heracles 2 - 0 Jong Ajax
2022 Jong Ajax 4 - 0 Heracles

Form Analysis

Jong Ajax
W D D W
Heracles
W W D W

Jong Ajax Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Heracles Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong Ajax
1.06
Heracles
1.91

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Jong Ajax vs Heracles is a Football football match on November 27, 2026 at Sportpark De Toekomst. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WDDW) for Jong Ajax and 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDW) for Heracles. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Nov 2026
📍 Sportpark De Toekomst

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Jong Ajax is currently #18 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Heracles is #16 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: Jong Ajax won 1, 0 were drawn and Heracles won 1 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Jong Ajax at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Heracles at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.06 for Jong Ajax and 1.91 for Heracles.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.