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Jong Ajax
L W D D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Jong AZ
L D W L L
1X2 Jong Ajax 64%
O/U Over 2.5 71%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Jong Ajax 64% Draw 14% Jong AZ 23%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Jong Ajax and Jong AZ?

Our prediction for the Jong Ajax–Jong AZ match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Jong Ajax to win (64% confidence); Jong Ajax to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Jong Ajax

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Jong Ajax scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Jong AZ

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Jong AZ scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Jong Ajax and Jong AZ average 4.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Ünüvar contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Andersen contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.79/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Jong Ajax records a mean of 6.78/10 versus 6.49/10 for Jong AZ.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists W. Weijs as coach of Jong Ajax. The latest recorded formations are Jong Ajax in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Jong AZ in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Jong Ajax averaged 46.0% possession and 15.7 shots per match (6.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Jong AZ averaged 54.5% possession and 16.3 shots (6.7 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Jong Ajax, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Jong Ajax
X24%Draw
235%Jong AZ
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Jong Ajax
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jong Ajax.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Jong AZ
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jong AZ.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Jong Ajax20%
Jong AZ18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Jong Ajax16%
Jong AZ14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Jong Ajax54%
Jong AZ46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Jong Ajax
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Jong AZ
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.72%
#22-18.56%
#31-27.92%
#42-26.82%
#51-05.70%
Combined Top 539.72%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Jong Ajax + BTTS24%
Jong AZ + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Jong Ajax Season

Rank#18
Points0
Matches Left38

Jong AZ Season

Rank#19
Points0
Matches Left38

Jong Ajax Last 5

FC Eindhoven 0 - 3
Vitesse 1 - 1
FC OSS 3 - 3
De Graafschap 2 - 1
VVV Venlo 0 - 3

Jong AZ Last 5

Almere City FC 1 - 3
Roda 2 - 1
Helmond Sport 5 - 4
VVV Venlo 4 - 4
Den Bosch 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Jong Ajax: 2 Draws: 0 Jong AZ: 3
2026 Jong AZ 3 - 0 Jong Ajax
2026 Jong AZ 1 - 2 Jong Ajax
2025 Jong Ajax 4 - 1 Jong AZ
2025 Jong AZ 2 - 1 Jong Ajax
2024 Jong Ajax 1 - 2 Jong AZ

Form Analysis

Jong Ajax
W D D W
Jong AZ
L L W D

Jong Ajax Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Jong AZ Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong Ajax
1.97
Jong AZ
1.72

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ is a Football football match on November 23, 2026 at Sportpark De Toekomst. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WDDW) for Jong Ajax and 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWD) for Jong AZ. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 23 Nov 2026
📍 Sportpark De Toekomst

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Jong Ajax is currently #18 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Jong AZ is #19 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: Jong Ajax won 2, 0 were drawn and Jong AZ won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Jong Ajax at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Jong AZ at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.97 for Jong Ajax and 1.72 for Jong AZ.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.