What is the prediction for the football match between Leganes and Burgos?
Our prediction for the Leganes–Burgos match is: Burgos to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Burgos to win (46% confidence); over 1.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)
Leganes
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Leganes scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.
Burgos
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Burgos scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Leganes scored 1.00 and conceded 2.40 per match across 5 covered games; Burgos scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Álvaro Morata contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.98/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Curro Sánchez contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Burgos records a mean of 6.68/10 versus 6.48/10 for Leganes.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Borja Jiménez for Leganes and Luis Miguel Ramis for Burgos. The latest recorded formations are Leganes in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Burgos in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Leganes averaged 50.2% possession and 13.5 shots per match (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Burgos averaged 47.6% possession and 12.3 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 6 recent home matches, Leganes recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.17 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Burgos recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Segunda División fixture takes place at Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).
Recent results show that Leganes have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.