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Leon

L W D L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Guadalajara Chivas 42%
O/U Over 2.5 67%
DC X2 73%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Leon 35% Draw 23% Guadalajara Chivas 42%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.55 — 1.66 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Leon
X25%Draw
240%Guadalajara Chivas
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 62%U 38%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Leon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Leon.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Guadalajara Chivas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Guadalajara Chivas.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Leon19%
Guadalajara Chivas21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Leon14%
Guadalajara Chivas17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Leon47%
Guadalajara Chivas53%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Leon
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Guadalajara Chivas
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.15%
#21-28.60%
#32-18.03%
#42-26.65%
#50-16.16%
Combined Top 540.59%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Leon + BTTS21%
Guadalajara Chivas + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

18' 🟥 Richard Ledezma
20' ⚽
23' 🟥 Juan Guevara
51' 🟥 Diber Cambindo
53' 🟥 Jose Rodriguez
58' 🔄 In: Jesús Lara
60' 🔄 In: Ricardo Marín
60' 🔄 In: Brian Gutierrez
67' 🔄 In: Paul Bellón
67' 🔄 In: Christopher Mora
69' ⚽ Ricardo Marín
75' 🔄 In: Edgar Guerra
75' 🔄 In: Ismael Díaz
76' 🔄 In: Jordan Carrillo
84' 🔄 In: Jose Castillo
84' 🔄 In: Luis Rey
87' ⚽ Paul Bellón

Lineups

Leon Home
  • Ó. García
  • I. Moreno
  • J. Romaña
  • Juan José Guevara Possu
  • S. Vegas
  • R. Echeverría
  • J. Rodríguez
  • F. Beltrán
  • D. Arcila
  • D. Cambindo
  • J. Alvarado
Guadalajara Chivas Away
  • J. Rangel
  • D. Aguirre
  • D. Campillo
  • L. Romo
  • R. Ledezma
  • R. González
  • O. Govea
  • B. González
  • R. Alvarado
  • E. Álvarez
  • Santiago Sandoval

Leon Season

Rank#7
Points23
Matches Left22

Guadalajara Chivas Season

Rank#3
Points30
Matches Left22

Leon Last 5

Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1
Cruz Azul 2 - 1
Toluca 1 - 1
Tigres UANL 0 - 2
Club America 3 - 5

Guadalajara Chivas Last 5

Leon 1 - 1
Atlante FC 4 - 2
Monterrey 0 - 1
Necaxa 1 - 0
Tigres UANL 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Leon: 3 Draws: 0 Guadalajara Chivas: 2
2026 Guadalajara Chivas 5 - 0 Leon
2025 Leon 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas
2025 Leon 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas
2024 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 0 Leon
2024 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 2 Leon

Form Analysis

Leon
D L D W L
Guadalajara Chivas
D W W W D

Leon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored14
Goals conceded11
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.38

Guadalajara Chivas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.38
Goals scored11
Goals conceded6
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Match Statistics

8Shots18
5Shots on Target6
2Corners6
33%Possession67%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Leon
1.44
Guadalajara Chivas
2.06

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas is a Football football match on November 8, 2026 at Estadio León (Nou Camp). Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DLDWL) for Leon and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWWD) for Guadalajara Chivas. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio León (Nou Camp)

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Leon is currently #7 with 23 points from 16 matches, while Guadalajara Chivas is #3 with 30 points from 16. Recent head-to-head history: Leon won 3, 0 were drawn and Guadalajara Chivas won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Leon at 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per home match, versus Guadalajara Chivas at 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.44 for Leon and 2.06 for Guadalajara Chivas. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.