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Lorient
W W D L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Rennes
D W L D L
1X2 Lorient 53%
O/U Over 2.5 67%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Lorient 53% Draw 22% Rennes 25%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Rennes?

Our prediction for the Lorient–Rennes match is: Lorient to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Lorient to win (53% confidence); over 2.5 goals (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Lorient

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lorient scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.

Rennes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Rennes scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Lorient scored 0.80 and conceded 0.40 per match across 5 covered games; Rennes scored 1.60 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Makengo contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.07/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Szymański contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Lorient records a mean of 6.66/10 versus 6.47/10 for Rennes.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Lorient in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Rennes in 3-5-2 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Lorient averaged 45.6% possession and 9.5 shots per match (2.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 11 matches, Rennes averaged 52.4% possession and 16.5 shots (6.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Lorient recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Rennes recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.80 points, 1.80 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Lorient: 1.4 points per home match compared with 1.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.72 — 1.52 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Lorient
X25%Draw
234%Rennes
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Lorient
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lorient.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Rennes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rennes.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Lorient22%
Rennes18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Lorient17%
Rennes13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Lorient55%
Rennes45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Lorient
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Rennes
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.07%
#22-18.76%
#31-27.79%
#42-26.68%
#51-06.09%
Combined Top 540.39%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Lorient + BTTS25%
Rennes + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Lorient Season

Rank#10
Points15
Matches Left24

Rennes Season

Rank#8
Points16
Matches Left24

Lorient Last 5

Le Havre 0 - 2
Stade Brestois 29 0 - 2
Angers 0 - 0
Monaco 1 - 0
Paris FC 1 - 0

Rennes Last 5

Lille 1 - 2
Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 0
Nice 5 - 2
Strasbourg 3 - 0
Juventus 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Lorient: 5 Draws: 0 Rennes: 0
2026 Rennes 0 - 2 Lorient
2025 Lorient 4 - 0 Rennes
2024 Rennes 1 - 2 Lorient
2023 Lorient 2 - 1 Rennes
2023 Lorient 2 - 1 Rennes

Form Analysis

Lorient
W L D W W
Rennes
L L W L W

Lorient Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored5
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Rennes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded14
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lorient
2.15
Rennes
1.37

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Lorient vs Rennes is a Ligue 1 football match on November 22, 2026 at Stade du Moustoir. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDWW) for Lorient and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWLW) for Rennes. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Stade du Moustoir

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Lorient is currently #10 with 15 points from 10 matches, while Rennes is #8 with 16 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Lorient won 5, 0 were drawn and Rennes won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Lorient at 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Rennes at 1.75 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.15 for Lorient and 1.37 for Rennes.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.