1X2 — Match Result
The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).
148%Lyon
X25%Draw
227%Nice
1X2
Lyon
47%
O/U
Over 1.5
78%
DC
1X
92%
BTTS
Yes
60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Lyon 47%
Draw 29%
Nice 24%
Match Momentum
FULL TIMEEstimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.
Lyon
Nice
Not enough valid samples are available to draw this chart yet.
G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review
Last sample: 08:41 PM UTC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.
Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals
Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.
O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away
Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.
Lyon
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 90%
The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lyon.
Possible alternative
Over 0.5 goals · 83%
A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Nice
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 96%
The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nice.
Possible alternative
Under 2.5 goals · 86%
A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 72%U 28%
1.5O 36%U 64%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%
These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.
Clean Sheet
A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.
Lyon28%
Nice17%
Win to Nil
The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.
Lyon23%
Nice12%
Draw No Bet
The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.
Lyon64%
Nice36%
Asian Handicap
The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.
Lyon
-1.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
-1W 27%P 22%L 52%
-0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
0W 48%P 25%L 27%
+0.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
+1W 73%P 15%L 11%
+1.5W 89%P 0%L 11%
Nice
-1.5W 11%P 0%L 89%
-1W 11%P 15%L 73%
-0.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
0W 27%P 25%L 48%
+0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
+1W 52%P 22%L 27%
+1.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
Dutching — Exact Score
OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.
#11-111.63%
#22-19.50%
#31-07.80%
#42-07.49%
#51-26.80%
Combined Top 543.22%
How Dutching works with $100
Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.
Winner + BTTS
This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.
Lyon + BTTS26%
Nice + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS19%
Match Timeline
10'
Niels Nkounkou
18'
Sepe Elye Wahi
32'
Pavel Šulc
36'
Tanner Tessmann
48'
Mohamed Abdelmoneim
61'
In: Corentin Tolisso
61'
In: Keito Nakamura
65'
Mohamed Amoura
70'
Keito Nakamura
75'
In: Felix Bacher
81'
In: Alidu Seidu
81'
In: Khalis Merah
81'
In: Ruben Kluivert
87'
In: Sofiane Diop
87'
In: Morgan Sanson
87'
In: Isak Jansson
90'
90'
Sepe Elye Wahi
Lineups
- R. Descamps
- Z. Athekame
- Clinton Mata
- M. Niakhaté
- Abner
- T. Tessmann
- M. Bidstrup
- K. Boudache
- N. Nartey
- J. Duranville
- P. Šulc
- Y. Diouf
- Mohamed Abdelmonem
- Y. Ndayishimiye
- X. Mandza Tsiendi
- J. Clauss
- A. Witsel
- H. Boudaoui
- N. Nkounkou
- G. Hein
- M. Amoura
- E. Wahi
Lyon Season
Rank#1
Points14
Matches Left27
Nice Season
Rank#13
Points8
Matches Left27
Lyon Last 5
1899 Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Nice
2 - 1
Crystal Palace
3 - 2
Lens
2 - 1
Rennes
4 - 0
Nice Last 5
Lyon
2 - 1
Strasbourg
2 - 1
Lille
2 - 1
Auxerre
1 - 0
Le Mans
1 - 1
Head-to-Head
Lyon: 0
Draws: 0
Nice: 5
2026
Lyon
2 - 0
Nice
2025
Nice
3 - 2
Lyon
2025
Nice
0 - 2
Lyon
2024
Lyon
4 - 1
Nice
2024
Lyon
1 - 0
Nice
Form Analysis
Lyon
W
L
W
D
W
Nice
L
W
W
L
D
Lyon Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored10
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75
Nice Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.33
Goals scored1
Goals conceded6
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00
Match Statistics
8Shots12
4Shots on Target5
1Corners9
48%Possession52%
0Yellow Cards4
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon
2.31
Nice
0.60
Live Commentary & Analysis
Match Preview
Lyon vs Nice is a Ligue 1 football match on October 18, 2026 at Groupama Stadium. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWDW) for Lyon and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LWWLD) for Nice. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.
Standings & Context
In the Ligue 1 standings, Lyon is currently #1 with 14 points from 7 matches, while Nice is #13 with 8 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Lyon won 0, 0 were drawn and Nice won 5 across the last 5 meetings.
Performance Analysis
The performance profile shows Lyon at 2.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match, versus Nice at 0.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.31 for Lyon and 0.60 for Nice. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 100% (result: 2 - 1).
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.