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Marseille
L W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Levski Sofia
L D W W
1X2 Marseille 50%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Marseille 50% Draw 22% Levski Sofia 28%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Levski Sofia?

Our prediction for the Marseille–Levski Sofia match is: Marseille to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Marseille to win (50% confidence); over 2.5 goals (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Marseille

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Marseille scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Levski Sofia

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Levski Sofia scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded 0.67 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Marseille scored 1.80 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Levski Sofia scored 1.33 and conceded 0.67 across 3.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Gouiri contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.56/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Reinaldo contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.69/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Marseille in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Levski Sofia in 4-3-3 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Marseille averaged 54.1% possession and 12.5 shots per match (4.1 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 3 matches, Levski Sofia averaged 44.7% possession and 9.0 shots (3.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Marseille recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Levski Sofia recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.73 — 1.54 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Marseille
X24%Draw
234%Levski Sofia
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Marseille
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Marseille.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Levski Sofia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Levski Sofia.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Marseille21%
Levski Sofia18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Marseille17%
Levski Sofia13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Marseille56%
Levski Sofia45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Marseille
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Levski Sofia
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.89%
#22-18.76%
#31-27.76%
#42-26.73%
#51-06.01%
Combined Top 540.15%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Marseille + BTTS25%
Levski Sofia + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Marseille Season

Rank#31
Points3
Matches Left34

Levski Sofia Season

Rank#10
Points7
Matches Left34

Marseille Last 5

Lens 1 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 1
Toulouse 2 - 0
Le Havre 4 - 3
Sturm Graz 1 - 0

Levski Sofia Last 5

Jagiellonia 1 - 0
Plzen 1 - 2
NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1
AEK Athens FC 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Marseille
W L L L
Levski Sofia
W W D L

Marseille Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.00
Goals scored0
Goals conceded1
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Levski Sofia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored3
Goals conceded2
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille
2.17
Levski Sofia
1.50

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Marseille vs Levski Sofia is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at Orange Vélodrome. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLL) for Marseille and 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDL) for Levski Sofia. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Orange Vélodrome

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Marseille is currently #31 with 3 points from 4 matches, while Levski Sofia is #10 with 7 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Marseille at 0.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Levski Sofia at 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.17 for Marseille and 1.50 for Levski Sofia.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.