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Marseille

L W L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
1X2 Olympiakos Piraeus 43%
O/U Over 1.5 74%
DC X2 83%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Marseille 31% Draw 26% Olympiakos Piraeus 43%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.34 — 1.60 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

131%Marseille
X26%Draw
243%Olympiakos Piraeus
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Marseille
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Marseille.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Olympiakos Piraeus
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Olympiakos Piraeus.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Marseille20%
Olympiakos Piraeus26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Marseille14%
Olympiakos Piraeus20%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Marseille42%
Olympiakos Piraeus58%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Marseille
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 26%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 21%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Olympiakos Piraeus
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 21%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 26%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.28%
#21-29.04%
#30-17.72%
#42-17.57%
#50-26.75%
Combined Top 543.36%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Marseille + BTTS17%
Olympiakos Piraeus + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

36' 🟥 Keyliane Abdallah
42' ⚽ Santiago Hezze
43' 🟥 Panagiotis Retsos
60' 🟥 Bruno Onyemaechi
62' 🔄 In: Amine Harit
62' 🔄 In: Amine Gouiri
62' 🔄 In: Ulisses Garcia
67' 🔄 In: Remo Freuler
67' 🔄 In: Armando González
72' 🔄 In: Kostas Fortounis
73' 🔄 In: Nayair Tiknizyan
75' 🔄 In: Faris Moumbagna
77' 🟥 Bamo Meite
80' 🔄 In: Geoffrey Kondogbia
82' 🔄 In: Gustavo Sá

Lineups

Marseille Home
  • J. de Lange
  • T. Weah
  • B. Meité
  • N. Aguerd
  • Emerson
  • H. Abdelli
  • T. Nnadi
  • K. Abdallah
  • A. Gomes
  • Igor Paixão
  • N. Maupay
Olympiakos Piraeus Away
  • S. Ortega
  • M. Saliakas
  • P. Retsos
  • L. Pirola
  • S. Onyemaechi
  • G. Puerta
  • S. Hezze
  • Gelson Martins
  • Chiquinho
  • Jota Silva
  • R. Yaremchuk

Marseille Season

Rank#34
Points0
Matches Left35

Olympiakos Piraeus Season

Rank#5
Points9
Matches Left35

Marseille Last 5

Sturm Graz 1 - 0
Angers 2 - 5
Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 1
Estac Troyes 0 - 2
Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2

Olympiakos Piraeus Last 5

Sparta Praha 1 - 0
Panetolikos 0 - 2
Marseille 0 - 1
Panathinaikos 1 - 0
Levadiakos 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Marseille: 0 Draws: 0 Olympiakos Piraeus: 4
2020 Marseille 2 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus
2020 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 - 0 Marseille
2011 Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus
2011 Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 1 Marseille

Form Analysis

Marseille
L W L W L
Olympiakos Piraeus
W W W W W

Marseille Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded6
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Olympiakos Piraeus Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded1
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.20

Match Statistics

11Shots9
5Shots on Target4
9Corners1
56%Possession44%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille
0.83
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.79

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus is a Europa League football match on October 15, 2026 at Orange Vélodrome. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLWL) for Marseille and 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Olympiakos Piraeus. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Orange Vélodrome

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Marseille is currently #34 with 0 points from 3 matches, while Olympiakos Piraeus is #5 with 9 points from 3. Recent head-to-head history: Marseille won 0, 0 were drawn and Olympiakos Piraeus won 4 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Marseille at 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Olympiakos Piraeus at 1.20 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.83 for Marseille and 1.79 for Olympiakos Piraeus. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 0 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.