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Metz
L W D L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Boulogne
D W D L W
1X2 Metz 39%
O/U Over 1.5 77%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Metz 39% Draw 27% Boulogne 34%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Boulogne?

Our prediction for the Metz–Boulogne match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Metz to win (39% confidence); Metz to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Metz

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Metz scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Boulogne

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Boulogne scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Metz and Boulogne average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, P. Fall contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.43/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Hbouch contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.15/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists L. Holtz as coach of Metz. The latest recorded formations are Metz in 5-4-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Boulogne in 5-3-2 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Metz averaged 53.1% possession and 13.4 shots per match (4.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 8 matches, Boulogne averaged 45.4% possession and 11.8 shots (3.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Metz recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 2.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Boulogne recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.20 points, 0.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 2 fixture takes place at Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz).

Recent results show that Metz have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.54 — 1.49 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Metz
X26%Draw
236%Boulogne
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Metz
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Metz.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Boulogne
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Boulogne.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Metz23%
Boulogne21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Metz17%
Boulogne16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Metz52%
Boulogne48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Metz
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Boulogne
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.02%
#22-18.53%
#31-28.21%
#41-06.74%
#50-16.46%
Combined Top 541.96%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Metz + BTTS21%
Boulogne + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Metz Season

Rank#7
Points17
Matches Left26

Boulogne Season

Rank#12
Points13
Matches Left26

Metz Last 5

Montpellier 2 - 3
PAU 1 - 3
Dunkerque 1 - 1
Sochaux 3 - 2
Dijon 4 - 2

Boulogne Last 5

Annecy 3 - 0
Laval 1 - 0
Reims 1 - 1
Grenoble 0 - 2
Sochaux 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Metz: 4 Draws: 0 Boulogne: 1
2013 Boulogne 1 - 0 Metz
2012 Metz 2 - 1 Boulogne
2012 Metz 1 - 0 Boulogne
2011 Boulogne 0 - 1 Metz
2011 Metz 3 - 1 Boulogne

Form Analysis

Metz
W L D W L
Boulogne
W L D W D

Metz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.17
Goals scored13
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Boulogne Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored3
Goals conceded3
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Metz
1.46
Boulogne
1.29

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Metz vs Boulogne is a Football football match on November 20, 2026 at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WLDWL) for Metz and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDWD) for Boulogne. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Stade Saint-Symphorien

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Metz is currently #7 with 17 points from 12 matches, while Boulogne is #12 with 13 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Metz won 4, 0 were drawn and Boulogne won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Metz at 2.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Boulogne at 0.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.46 for Metz and 1.29 for Boulogne.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.