What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and QPR?
Our prediction for the Millwall–QPR match is: Millwall to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Millwall to win (38% confidence); over 1.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)
Millwall
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Millwall scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.
QPR
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, QPR scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Millwall scored 1.40 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; QPR scored 2.20 and conceded 1.80 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, K. Lisbie contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.78/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, R. Kone contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.18/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, QPR records a mean of 6.71/10 versus 6.46/10 for Millwall.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list A. Neil for Millwall and J. Stéphan for QPR. The latest recorded formations are Millwall in 4-4-2 (Nov 3, 2026) and QPR in 4-4-2 (Nov 3, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Millwall averaged 49.7% possession and 14.4 shots per match (4.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, QPR averaged 49.3% possession and 13.4 shots (4.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Millwall recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.25 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. Away from home, QPR recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.60 points, 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Championship fixture takes place at The Den (London).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Millwall: 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.