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Modena
L W W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Juve Stabia
W W L D W
1X2 Modena 50%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Modena 50% Draw 23% Juve Stabia 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Modena and Juve Stabia?

Our prediction for the Modena–Juve Stabia match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Modena to win (50% confidence); Modena to win or draw (74% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Modena

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Modena scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Juve Stabia

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Juve Stabia scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Modena and Juve Stabia average 3.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Belotti contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.76/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Antonio Di Nardo contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.20/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists A. Sottil as coach of Modena. The latest recorded formations are Modena in 4-3-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Juve Stabia in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Modena averaged 58.7% possession and 16.1 shots per match (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 6 matches, Juve Stabia averaged 52.8% possession and 14.5 shots (4.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Modena recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Juve Stabia recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.67 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Recent results show that Modena have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.5 points per home match compared with 2.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.65 — 1.46 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Modena
X25%Draw
233%Juve Stabia
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Modena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Modena.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Juve Stabia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Juve Stabia.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Modena23%
Juve Stabia19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Modena18%
Juve Stabia14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Modena55%
Juve Stabia45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Modena
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Juve Stabia
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.65%
#22-18.83%
#31-27.84%
#41-06.64%
#52-26.46%
Combined Top 541.42%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Modena + BTTS23%
Juve Stabia + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Modena Season

Rank#2
Points23
Matches Left27

Juve Stabia Season

Rank#13
Points12
Matches Left27

Modena Last 5

Virtus Entella 0 - 2
Mantova 1 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 1 - 2
Cesena 3 - 0
Carrarese 2 - 1

Juve Stabia Last 5

Arezzo 1 - 0
Empoli 2 - 2
Hellas Verona 0 - 1
Cremonese 0 - 1
Sudtirol 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

Modena: 3 Draws: 0 Juve Stabia: 2
2026 Modena 0 - 1 Juve Stabia
2026 Juve Stabia 1 - 2 Modena
2025 Modena 3 - 0 Juve Stabia
2025 Juve Stabia 2 - 1 Modena
2024 Modena 3 - 0 Juve Stabia

Form Analysis

Modena
L W W D W
Juve Stabia
W W L D W

Modena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Juve Stabia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored4
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Modena
1.75
Juve Stabia
1.21

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Modena vs Juve Stabia is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Stadio Alberto Braglia. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWDW) for Modena and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWLDW) for Juve Stabia. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Alberto Braglia

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Modena is currently #2 with 23 points from 11 matches, while Juve Stabia is #13 with 12 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Modena won 3, 0 were drawn and Juve Stabia won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Modena at 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Juve Stabia at 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.75 for Modena and 1.21 for Juve Stabia.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.