What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Auxerre?
Our prediction for the Monaco–Auxerre match is: Monaco to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Monaco to win (62% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)
Monaco
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Monaco scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
Auxerre
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Auxerre scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Monaco scored 1.00 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Auxerre scored 1.20 and conceded 2.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 4 recent recorded appearances, E. Diop contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.12/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Namaso contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.60/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Monaco records a mean of 6.55/10 versus 6.18/10 for Auxerre.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list A. Hütter for Monaco and C. Pélissier for Auxerre. The latest recorded formations are Monaco in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Auxerre in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Monaco averaged 53.5% possession and 11.3 shots per match (3.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 8 matches, Auxerre averaged 42.5% possession and 10.1 shots (4.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Monaco recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Auxerre recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 3.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Stade Louis II (Monaco).
Recent results show that Monaco have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.