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Nancy
W W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Dijon
W L L W W
1X2 Nancy 48%
O/U Over 2.5 59%
DC 1X 70%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nancy 48% Draw 21% Dijon 31%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nancy and Dijon?

Our prediction for the Nancy–Dijon match is: Nancy to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Nancy to win (48% confidence); over 2.5 goals (59% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Nancy

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nancy scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.

Dijon

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Dijon scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Nancy scored 1.80 and conceded 0.40 per match across 5 covered games; Dijon scored 2.20 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, I. Housni contributed 2 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.53/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Y. Barka contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.45/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists P. Correa as coach of Nancy. The latest recorded formations are Nancy in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Dijon in 4-1-3-2 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nancy averaged 50.4% possession and 14.0 shots per match (4.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Dijon averaged 54.6% possession and 13.6 shots (4.5 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Nancy recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.40 points, 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Dijon recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 2.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 2 fixture takes place at Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy).

Recent results show that Nancy have a stronger record at home than away: 4 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 2.4 points per home match compared with 2.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.50 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Nancy
X25%Draw
235%Dijon
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nancy
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nancy.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Dijon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Dijon.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nancy22%
Dijon19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nancy17%
Dijon15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nancy54%
Dijon46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nancy
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dijon
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.47%
#22-18.71%
#31-27.98%
#41-06.54%
#52-26.52%
Combined Top 541.22%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nancy + BTTS23%
Dijon + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Nancy Season

Rank#2
Points25
Matches Left26

Dijon Season

Rank#6
Points18
Matches Left26

Nancy Last 5

Sochaux 1 - 0
RED Star FC 93 1 - 4
Laval 1 - 0
Annecy 1 - 2
Guingamp 1 - 0

Dijon Last 5

RED Star FC 93 1 - 0
Grenoble 1 - 3
Rodez 1 - 2
Reims 4 - 2
Metz 4 - 2

Head-to-Head

Nancy: 2 Draws: 1 Dijon: 2
2026 Nancy 2 - 2 Dijon
2025 Dijon 0 - 1 Nancy
2024 Nancy 0 - 1 Dijon
2024 Dijon 3 - 1 Nancy
2023 Nancy 3 - 0 Dijon

Form Analysis

Nancy
W W W W W
Dijon
W W L L W

Nancy Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded3
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Dijon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored10
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nancy
1.72
Dijon
1.37

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nancy vs Dijon is a Football football match on November 20, 2026 at Stade Marcel-Picot. Recent form is 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Nancy and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLLW) for Dijon. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Stade Marcel-Picot

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Nancy is currently #2 with 25 points from 12 matches, while Dijon is #6 with 18 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Nancy won 2, 1 were drawn and Dijon won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nancy at 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per home match, versus Dijon at 1.67 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.72 for Nancy and 1.37 for Dijon.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.