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Napoli
D W L L D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Torino
W W L L D
1X2 Napoli 42%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC 1X 65%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Napoli 42% Draw 25% Torino 34%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Torino?

Our prediction for the Napoli–Torino match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Napoli to win (42% confidence); Napoli to win or draw (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Napoli

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Napoli scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Torino

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Torino scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Napoli and Torino average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. McTominay contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.30/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, G. Simeone contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list A. Conte for Napoli and M. Baroni for Torino. The latest recorded formations are Napoli in 3-5-2 (Nov 8, 2026) and Torino in 3-4-1-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 13 recent matches with possession and shot data, Napoli averaged 50.8% possession and 14.5 shots per match (5.8 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, Torino averaged 50.8% possession and 10.9 shots (3.9 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 7 recent home matches, Napoli recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.57 points, 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match. Away from home, Torino recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.40 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples).

Recent results show that Napoli have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 7 home matches, averaging 1.6 points per home match compared with 0.6 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.56 — 1.50 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Napoli
X25%Draw
236%Torino
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Napoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Napoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Torino
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Torino.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Napoli22%
Torino21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Napoli17%
Torino16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Napoli52%
Torino48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Napoli
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Torino
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.81%
#22-18.52%
#31-28.22%
#41-06.65%
#52-26.41%
Combined Top 541.61%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Napoli + BTTS22%
Torino + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Napoli Season

Rank#10
Points15
Matches Left27

Torino Season

Rank#11
Points14
Matches Left27

Napoli Last 5

Lazio 1 - 1
FC Porto 4 - 1
Juventus 2 - 0
Monza 1 - 4
AS Roma 3 - 3

Torino Last 5

Lecce 1 - 1
Frosinone 2 - 0
Como 1 - 3
Monza 3 - 2
Parma 0 - 3

Head-to-Head

Napoli: 0 Draws: 1 Torino: 4
2026 Napoli 2 - 1 Torino
2025 Torino 1 - 0 Napoli
2025 Napoli 2 - 0 Torino
2024 Torino 0 - 1 Napoli
2024 Napoli 1 - 1 Torino

Form Analysis

Napoli
D L W D L
Torino
D L L W W

Napoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Torino Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.40
Goals scored7
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli
1.44
Torino
1.39

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Napoli vs Torino is a Serie A football match on November 21, 2026 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DLWDL) for Napoli and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DLLWW) for Torino. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Napoli is currently #10 with 15 points from 11 matches, while Torino is #11 with 14 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Napoli won 0, 1 were drawn and Torino won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Napoli at 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Torino at 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.44 for Napoli and 1.39 for Torino.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.